AB International Group (AB International Group) Predictability Rank

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What is AB International Group Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

AB International Group Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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AB International Group (AB International Group) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Communication Services » Media - Diversified » AB International Group Corp (OTCPK:ABQQ) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

144 Main Street, Mount Kisco, New York, NY, USA, 10549

Website

https://www.abqqs.com

AB International Group Corp is an intellectual property (IP) and movie investment and licensing firm, focused on acquisitions and development of various intellectual property, including the acquisition and distribution of movies. It is predominantly engaged in owning or leasing franchises, patents, and copyrights then in turn license others to use. The company is also engaged in other businesses such as providing Video streaming service under the brand name ABQQ.tv, Smartphone patent, NFT movie and music marketplace license business and operating AB movie theatres. The company has two reportable segments, Copyrights and license (IP) segment which generates majority of the revenue and cinema segment.

Executives

Chiyuan Deng	director, officer: President	2/F 45 HOLLYWOOD ROAD, HONG KONG K3 999077
Pathikonda Sivakumar Arikeri	10 percent owner	#08-245, BLOCK #107, YISHUN KING ROAD, SINGAPORE U0 760107
Lijun Yu	10 percent owner, officer: Chief Marketing Officer	16TH FLOOR, RICH TOWERS, 2 BLENHEIM AVENUE, TSIM SHA TSUI, KOWLOON K3 00000
Linqing Ye	director	SHOP 518 5/F TM PLAZA, 88 QINGHEZHONGLU, GUANGZHOU F4 511400
Alexander Holtermann	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	KRANICHSTEINER STR 21, 60598 FRANKFURT AM MAIN 2M 60598
Jianli Deng	10 percent owner, officer: Secretary and Treasurer	2/F 45 HOLLYWOOD ROAD, HONG KONG K3 999077
Ian Wright	officer: Chief Operating Officer	BOECKLINSTRASSE 3, FRANKFURT AM MAIN GERMANY, FRANKFURT 2M 60596
Luis Hadic	officer: Chief Financial Officer	23717 110B AVE., MAPLE RIDGE A1 V2W 2E2
Ho Ming Chung	officer: Chief Technology Officer	23/F ROOM 8 BLOCK A WANG KWONG BLDG., 22 NGAU TAU KOK ROAD, KOWLOON K3 999077