Adamant DRI Processing and Minerals Group (Adamant DRI Processing and Minerals Group) Predictability Rank

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What is Adamant DRI Processing and Minerals Group Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Adamant DRI Processing and Minerals Group Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Adamant DRI Processing and Minerals Group (Adamant DRI Processing and Minerals Group) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Diversified Financial Services » Adamant DRI Processing and Minerals Group (OTCPK:ADMG) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

99 East State Street, No.202, Eagle, ID, USA, 83616

Website

https://www.adamant-dri.com

Adamant DRI Processing and Minerals Group is a shell company.

Executives

Nicholas Aaron Parks	director, 10 percent owner, officer: President, Secretary/Treasurer	5010 THORNBROOK RIDGE, COLUMBIA MO 65203
Changqing Han	10 percent owner	C/O TARGET ACQUISITIONS I, INC., CHUNSHUGOU LUANZHUANG VLG, ZHUOLU COUNTY, ZHANGJIAKOU, HEBEI PROVINCE F4 075600
Jiazhen Liu	10 percent owner	C/O TARGET ACQUISITIONS I, INC., CHUNSHUGOU LUANZHUANG VLG, ZHUOLU COUNTY, ZHANGJIAKOU, HEBEI PROVINCE F4 075600
Changkui Zhu	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O TARGET ACQUISITIONS I, INC., CHUNSHUGOU LUANZHUANG VLG, ZHUOLU COUNTY, ZHANGJIAKOU, HEBEI PROVINCE F4 075600
Omar Cunha	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Vice President	UNITY VENTURE CAPITAL ASSOCIATES LTD., C/O UHF INC., 1270 AVE. OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10020
Van Voorst Vader Peter	director, 10 percent owner	UNITY VENTURE CAPITAL ASSOCIATES LTD., C/O UHF INC., 1270 AVE. OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10020
Lawrence Burstein	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Secretary and Treasurer	C/O UNITY VENTURE CAPITAL ASSOCIATES LTD, 245 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 1500, NEW YORK NY 10016
Sidney Levy	director, 10 percent owner	UNITY VENTURE CAPITAL ASSOCIATES LTD., C/O UHF INC., 1270 AVE. OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10020
Vincent J Mcgill	director	C/O EATON & VAN WINKLE LLP, 3 PARK AVENUE, 16TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10016
Nissen Holdings & Co Ltd.	10 percent owner	UNITY VENTURE CAPITAL ASSOCIATES LTD., C/O UHF INC., 1270 AVE. OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10020
Ronald C Schmeiser	director, officer: President	6015 HOWE STREET, PITTSBURGH PA 15204
Dachris Ltd.	10 percent owner	60 PORT PERRY ROAD, NORTH VERSAILLES PA 15137

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