Atlas Lithium (Atlas Lithium) Predictability Rank

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What is Atlas Lithium Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Atlas Lithium Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Atlas Lithium (Atlas Lithium) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Basic Materials » Metals & Mining » Atlas Lithium Corp (NAS:ATLX) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

C480:Germany

Address

Rua Bahia 2463, Suite 205, Belo Horizonte, MG, BRA, 30.160-012

Website

https://www.atlas-lithium.com

Atlas Lithium Corp is a mineral exploration and development company with lithium projects and exploration properties in other critical and battery minerals, including nickel, rare earth, graphite, and titanium, to power the increased demand for electrification. Its current focus is on developing its hard-rock lithium project Minas Gerais Lithium Project located in Minas Gerais State in Brazil. The company intends to produce and sell lithium concentrate, a key ingredient for the battery supply chain.

Executives

Igor Tkachenko	officer: VP, Corporate Strategy	1200 N. FEDERAL HWY, SUITE 200, BOCA RATON FL 33432
Marc Fogassa	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer	324 SOUTH BEVERLY DRIVE, SUITE 118, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90212
Pereira De Aguiar Gustavo	officer: CFO/PAO	433 NORTH CAMDEN DRIVE, SUITE 810, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Volodymyr Myadzel	officer: Senior VP, Geology	433 NORTH CAMDEN DRIVE, SUITE 810, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Cassiopeia Olson	director	2015 S BEVERLY GLEN BLVD., 101, 101, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Brian W. Bernier	officer: Vice President	605 BELMONT PLACE, BOYNTON BEACH FL 33436
Stephen R. Petersen	director	C/O FOUR SPRINGS CAPITAL TRUST, 1901 MAIN STREET, LAKE COMO NJ 07719
De Paiva Monteiro Joel	officer: VP, Admin & Ops, ESG Chief	433 NORTH CAMDEN DRIVE, SUITE 810, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Nogueira Da Silva Junior Areli	officer: VP, Mineral Exploration	433 NORTH CAMDEN DRIVE, SUITE 810, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Roger Noriega	director	1150 K STREET, N.W., WASHINGTON DC 20005
Peter Kristofer Goldy	10 percent owner	9903 SANTA MONICA BLVD, SUITE 187, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90212
Sainte Valiere, Llc	10 percent owner	SOUTHPAC TRUST NEVIS LIMITED, HUNKINS PLAZA, CHARLESTOWN U7 NONE
Brazil Mining, Inc.	10 percent owner	324 SOUTH BEVERLY DRIVE, STE. 118, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90212
Luis Azevedo	director	AV. JOURNALISTA RICARDO MARINHO 360, SALA 113 ED.COSMOPOLITAN,BARRA DA TIJUCA, RIO DE JANEIRO, CEP 22631-350 D5 22631-350
Paul Durand	director	99 LYTTLETON GARDENS, OTTAWA A6 K1L5A4