GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Asset Management » Blackrock Floating Rate Income Trust (NYSE:BGT) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Blackrock Floating Rateome Trust (Blackrock Floating Rateome Trust) Predictability Rank


View and export this data going back to 2004. Start your Free Trial

What is Blackrock Floating Rateome Trust Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Blackrock Floating Rateome Trust Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Blackrock Floating Rateome Trust Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Blackrock Floating Rateome Trust's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Blackrock Floating Rateome Trust (Blackrock Floating Rateome Trust) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Asset Management » Blackrock Floating Rate Income Trust (NYSE:BGT) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
RFI HYI NCV AFB CAF RMM FCT NCA PMM MCR BLK BX OSTO:INVE A TSX:BN KKR APO BK AMP XSWX:PGHN LSE:III
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
100 Bellevue Parkway, Wilmington, DE, USA, 19809
Website
https://www.blackrock.com
Blackrock Floating Rate Income Trust is a closed-end management investment company. Its investment objective is to provide a high level of current income. The company's secondary investment objective is to seek the preservation of capital. The Trust seeks to achieve its investment objectives by investing mainly, under normal conditions, at least 80% of its assets in floating and variable rate instruments of U.S. and non-U.S. issuers, including a substantial portion of its assets in global floating and variable rate securities including senior secured floating rate loans made to corporate and other business entities.
Executives
Arthur Philip Steinmetz director 50 HUDSON YARDS, NEW YORK NY 10001
Aaron David Wasserman officer: Chief Compliance Officer 50 HUDSON YARDS, NEW YORK NY 10001
Lorenzo Flores director 2100 LOGIC DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95124
James Phillip Holloman director P.O. BOX 625737, 6800 CINTAS BOULEVARD, CINCINNATI OH 45262
Stayce D. Harris director 1999 S. BASCOM AVE., SUITE 700, CAMPBELL CA 95008
Trent Walker officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O PIMCO, 650 NEWPORT CENTER DRIVE, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660
Robert Glenn Hubbard director 100 BELLEVUE PARKWAY, WILMINGTON DE 19809
Richard Cavanagh director 100 BELLEVUE PARKWAY, WILMINGTON DE 19809
Frank Fabozzi director 100 BELLEVUE PARKWAY, WILMINGTON DE 19809
Blackrock Internationl, Ltd. other: Investment Adviser 800 SCUDDERS MILL ROAD, PLAINSBORO NJ 08536
James Keenan other: Portfolio Manager 100 BELLEVUE PARKWAY, WILMINGTON DE 19809
Abigail Apistolas other: Portfolio Manager 55 EAST 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10055
Henry Gabbay officer: Treasurer 100 BELLEVUE PARKWAY, WILMINGTON DE 19809
Mitchell Garfin other: Portfolio Manager 100 BELLEVUE PARKWAY, WILMINGTON DE 19809
Carly Wilson other: Portfolio Manager 55 EAST 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10055

Blackrock Floating Rateome Trust (Blackrock Floating Rateome Trust) Headlines

From GuruFocus

Distribution Dates and Amounts Announced for Certain BlackRock Closed-End Funds

By Business Wire Business Wire • 12-20-2021