What is Calamos Asset Management Predictability Rank?
Not Rated
Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:
1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.
In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.
Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:
Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.
The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.
Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns
Predictables
Non-Predictable
All stocks
Total Number of stocks
570
1833
2403
Total Lost Money
61
830
891
Total Lost More Than 50%
18
412
430
Total Lost More Than 90%
4
86
90
Average Gain
260.6%
100.0%
138.1%
Median Gain
150.0%
13.0%
39.0%
Maximum Gain
2852.0%
11483.0%
11483.0%
Maximum Loss
-100.0%
-100.0%
-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain
12.7%
6.7%
8.4%
Annualized Median Gain
8.9%
1.1%
3.1%
For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.
Calamos Asset Management Predictability Rank Related Terms
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Calamos Asset Management (Calamos Asset Management) Business Description
Calamos Asset Management Inc is a Delaware corporation, incorporated on July 23, 2004. It is an asset management firm that offers strategies to fulfill a range of asset allocation goals through a multi-team platform. The Company together with its subsidiaries provides investment advisory services to individuals and institutional investors through open-end funds, closed-end funds, separate accounts, offshore funds and partnerships. The company applies an investment philosophy and proprietary process centered on risk management across a range of investment strategies, including equity, balanced, convertible, high yield, alternative, fixed income and money market investments. The Company currently offers four types of investment products that fall into the categories of mutual funds and separate accounts. Funds include its open-end and closed-end funds as well as its Offshore Funds. The Company includes the Offshore Funds in open-end funds for reporting purposes. Separate accounts are individual portfolios of securities managed to meet clients specific needs and include institutional accounts and managed accounts. The Company competes in all aspects of its business with a large number of investment management firms, commercial banks, broker-dealers and insurance companies. In the United States and other countries in which it does business, it is subject to regulations and laws at both a federal and state level, including U.S. federal, state and local tax laws as well as similar foreign jurisdiction tax laws.
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