What is Corbus Pharmaceuticals Holdings Predictability Rank?
1 (5)
Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:
1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.
It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.
GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.
Corbus Pharmaceuticals Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation
In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.
Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:
Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.
The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.
Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns
| Predictables | Non-Predictable | All stocks |
|---|
| Total Number of stocks | 570 | 1833 | 2403 |
| Total Lost Money | 61 | 830 | 891 |
| Total Lost More Than 50% | 18 | 412 | 430 |
| Total Lost More Than 90% | 4 | 86 | 90 |
| Average Gain | 260.6% | 100.0% | 138.1% |
| Median Gain | 150.0% | 13.0% | 39.0% |
| Maximum Gain | 2852.0% | 11483.0% | 11483.0% |
| Maximum Loss | -100.0% | -100.0% | -100.0% |
| Annualized Average Gain | 12.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% |
| Annualized Median Gain | 8.9% | 1.1% | 3.1% |
For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.
| Predictability Rank | 5-Star | 4.5-Star | 4-Star | 3.5-Star | 3-Star | 2.5-Star | 2-Star | 1-Star (non-predictable) | Average among all |
|---|
| % Out of All 2403 Stocks |
3.3% |
2.9% |
3.7% |
3.3% |
3.3% |
3.7% |
3.3% |
76.3% |
100% |
| % that are in Loss (10y) |
3% |
10% |
8% |
9% |
11% |
18% |
16% |
45% |
37% |
| Average Gain (10y) |
364.6% |
330.9% |
278.0% |
235.1% |
243.5% |
227.8% |
154.8% |
100.0% |
138.1% |
| Median Gain (10y) |
238.5% |
193.5% |
171.0% |
159.0% |
132.5% |
113.5% |
87.0% |
13.0% |
39.0% |
| Maximum Gainer |
2228.0% |
2547.0% |
2452.0% |
2852.0% |
2432.0% |
1892.0% |
1807.0% |
11483.0% |
11483.0% |
| Maximum Loser |
-82.0% |
-53.0% |
-67.0% |
-100.0% |
-83.0% |
-100.0% |
-78.0% |
-100.0% |
-100.0% |
| Annualized Average Gain |
15.4% |
14.6% |
13.2% |
12.0% |
12.2% |
11.7% |
9.1% |
6.7% |
8.4% |
| Annualized Median Gain |
12.1% |
10.6% |
9.8% |
9.3% |
8.2% |
7.3% |
6.0% |
1.1% |
3.1% |
For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank
Also read:
Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety
Corbus Pharmaceuticals Holdings (Corbus Pharmaceuticals Holdings) Business Description
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
500 River Ridge Drive, Norwood, MA, USA, 02062
Corbus Pharmaceuticals Holdings Inc is a clinical-stage pharmaceutical company focused on the development and commercialization of novel therapeutics for endocannabinoid or immune systems. The company's lead product candidate, lenabasum, is a novel, synthetic oral endocannabinoid-mimetic drug designed to resolve chronic inflammation and fibrotic processes. Lenabasum is currently being evaluated in systemic sclerosis, cystic fibrosis, dermatomyositis, and systemic lupus erythematosus. Corbus' internal development pipeline includes CRB-701, a next-generation antibody-drug conjugate (ADC) that targets the expression of Nectin-4 on cancer cells to release a cytotoxic payload and CRB-601, an anti-integrin monoclonal antibody that blocks the activation of TGF expressed on cancer cells.
Executives
| Yong Ben |
director |
500 RIVER RIDGE DRIVE, NORWOOD MA 02062 |
| Anne Altmeyer |
director |
500 RIVER RIDGE DRIVE, NORWOOD MA 02062 |
| Yuval Cohen |
director, officer: Chief Executive Officer |
C/O CORBUS PHARMACEUTICALS HOLDINGS, INC, 100 RIVER RIDGE DRIVE, NORWOOD MA 02062 |
| Craig Stuart Millian |
officer: Chief Commercial Officer |
C/O CORBUS PHARMACEUTICALS HOLDINGS, INC, 100 RIVER RIDGE DRIVE, NORWOOD MA 02062 |
| Sean F. Moran |
officer: Chief Financial Officer |
10220-L OLD COLUMBIA ROAD, COLUMBIA MD 21046 |
| Rachael Louise Brake |
officer: Chief Scientific Officer |
21 MANCHESTER PLACE, NATICK MA 01760 |
| George Golumbeski |
director |
C/O CELGENE CORP., 86 MORRIS AVENUE, SUMMIT NJ 07901 |
| Peter Salzmann |
director |
320 W 37TH STREET, 3RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10016 |
| Barbara White |
officer: Chief Medical Officer |
C/O CORBUS PHARMACEUTICALS HOLDINGS, INC, 100 RIVER RIDGE DRIVE, NORWOOD MA 02062 |
| Robert Paul Discordia |
officer: Chief Operating Officer |
C/O CORBUS PHARMACEUTICALS HOLDINGS, INC, 500 RIVER RIDGE DRIVE, NORWOOD MA 02062 |
| Rachelle Suzanne Jacques |
director |
C/O CORBUS PHARMACEUTICALS HOLDINGS, INC, 100 RIVER RIDGE DRIVE, NORWOOD MA 02062 |
| David P Hochman |
director |
15 WESTON HILL RD., RIVERSIDE CT 06878 |
| John Kenneth Jenkins |
director |
C/O CORBUS PHARMACEUTICALS HOLDINGS, INC, 100 RIVER RIDGE DRIVE, NORWOOD MA 02062 |
| Paris Panayiotopoulos |
director |
ARIAD PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 26 LANDSDOWNE STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139 |
| Alan F Holmer |
director |
C/O CORBUS PHARMACEUTICALS HOLDINGS, INC, 100 RIVER RIDGE DRIVE, NORWOOD MA 02062 |
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