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Cytek Biosciences (Cytek Biosciences) Predictability Rank


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What is Cytek Biosciences Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.


Cytek Biosciences Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Cytek Biosciences Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Cytek Biosciences (Cytek Biosciences) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
47215 Lakeview Boulevard, Fremont, CA, USA, 94538
Cytek Biosciences Inc is a cell analysis solutions company advancing the next generation of cell analysis tools by leveraging novel technical approaches. Its core instruments, the Aurora and Northern Lights systems, are the first full-spectrum flow cytometers able to deliver high-resolution, high-content, and high-sensitivity cell analysis by utilizing the full spectrum of fluorescence signatures from multiple lasers to distinguish fluorescent tags on single cells. Its FSP platform addresses the inherent limitations of other technologies by providing a higher density of information with greater sensitivity, more flexibility, and increased efficiency, all at a lower cost for performance.
Executives
Patrick Jeanmonod officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O CYTEK BIOSCIENCES, INC., 46107 LANDING PARKWAY, FREMONT CA 94538
Ming Yan director, officer: Chief Technology Officer C/O CYTEK BIOSCIENCES, INC., 46107 LANDING PARKWAY, FREMONT CA 94538
Wenbin Jiang director, officer: President and CEO C/O CYTEK BIOSCIENCES, INC., 46107 LANDING PARKWAY, FREMONT CA 94538
Philippe Busque officer: SVP, Global Sales and Services 47215 LAKEVIEW BOULEVARD, FREMONT CA 94538
Jack Ball director C/O CYTEK BIOSCIENCES, INC., 46107 LANDING PARKWAY, FREMONT CA 94538
Paul Christopher Williams officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O CYTEK BIOSCIENCES, INC., 47215 LAKEVIEW BOULEVARD, FREMONT CA 94538
Don M Hardison director
Deborah J Neff director C/O CYTEK BIOSCIENCES, INC., 47215 LAKEVIEW BLVD., FREMONT CA 94538
Jonathan Todd Garland officer: Chief Commercial Officer C/O CYTEK BIOSCIENCES, INC., 47215 LAKEVIEW BOULEVARD, FREMONT CA 94538
Ra Capital Healthcare Fund Lp director 200 BERKELEY STREET, 18TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Vera Imper director C/O CYTEK BIOSCIENCES, INC., 47215 LAKEVIEW BOULEVARD, FREMONT CA 94538
Theresa Cameron director C/O THERAPEUTICS ACQUISITION CORP., 200 BERKELEY STREET. 18TH F L, BOSTON MA 02116
Feng Deng director SUITE 1701, 17/F HUTCHISON HOUSE, 10 HARCOURT ROAD, CENTRAL, HONG KONG K3 00000
Ra Capital Nexus Fund Ii, L.p. director 200 BERKELEY STREET, 18TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Rajeev M. Shah director 200 BERKELEY STREET, 18TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116