Dakota Gold (Dakota Gold) Predictability Rank

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What is Dakota Gold Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Dakota Gold Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Dakota Gold Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Dakota Gold (Dakota Gold) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Basic Materials » Metals & Mining » Dakota Gold Corp (AMEX:DC) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

RR6:Germany

Address

106 Glendale Drive, Suite A, Lead, SD, USA, 57754

Website

https://www.dakotagoldcorp.com

Dakota Gold Corp is a gold exploration and development company with a specific focus on revitalizing the Homestake District in Lead, South Dakota. Dakota Gold has high-caliber gold mineral properties covering over 40 thousand acres surrounding the historic Homestake Mine.

Executives

Gerald Michael Aberle	director, officer: Chief Operating Officer	PO BOX 568, LEAD SD 57754
Alice D. Schroeder	director	1573 MALLORY LANE, SUITE 100, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Jonathan T. Awde	director, officer: President & CEO	DAKOTA TERRITORY RESOURCE CORP, 141 GLENDALE DR, LEAD SD 57754
Patrick Shay Malone	officer: Chief Sustainability Officer	106 GLENDALE DRIVE, SUITE A, LEAD SD 57754
Stephen T. O'rourke	director	P.O. BOX 9159, RAPID CITY SD 57709
Shawn Campbell	officer: Chief Financial Officer	141 GLENDALE DRIVE, LEAD SD 57754
Robert Quartermain	director	DAKOTA TERRITORY RESOURCE CORP, 141 GLENDALE DR, LEAD SD 57754
Alex G Morrison	director	1658 COLE BLVD., BLDG. 6, SUITE 210, LAKEWOOD CO 80401
James Mccoy Berry	officer: Vice-President of Exploration	141 GLENDALE DRIVE, LEAD SD 57754
Jennifer S Grafton	director	9540 SOUTH MAROON CIRCLE, SUITE 200, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Amy Koenig	director	7001 MT. RUSHMORE ROAD, RAPID CITY SD 57702