What is Franklin Wireless Predictability Rank?
1 (5)
Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:
1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.
It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.
GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.
Franklin Wireless Predictability Rank Calculation
In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.
Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:
Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.
The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.
Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns
| Predictables | Non-Predictable | All stocks |
|---|
| Total Number of stocks | 570 | 1833 | 2403 |
| Total Lost Money | 61 | 830 | 891 |
| Total Lost More Than 50% | 18 | 412 | 430 |
| Total Lost More Than 90% | 4 | 86 | 90 |
| Average Gain | 260.6% | 100.0% | 138.1% |
| Median Gain | 150.0% | 13.0% | 39.0% |
| Maximum Gain | 2852.0% | 11483.0% | 11483.0% |
| Maximum Loss | -100.0% | -100.0% | -100.0% |
| Annualized Average Gain | 12.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% |
| Annualized Median Gain | 8.9% | 1.1% | 3.1% |
For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.
| Predictability Rank | 5-Star | 4.5-Star | 4-Star | 3.5-Star | 3-Star | 2.5-Star | 2-Star | 1-Star (non-predictable) | Average among all |
|---|
| % Out of All 2403 Stocks |
3.3% |
2.9% |
3.7% |
3.3% |
3.3% |
3.7% |
3.3% |
76.3% |
100% |
| % that are in Loss (10y) |
3% |
10% |
8% |
9% |
11% |
18% |
16% |
45% |
37% |
| Average Gain (10y) |
364.6% |
330.9% |
278.0% |
235.1% |
243.5% |
227.8% |
154.8% |
100.0% |
138.1% |
| Median Gain (10y) |
238.5% |
193.5% |
171.0% |
159.0% |
132.5% |
113.5% |
87.0% |
13.0% |
39.0% |
| Maximum Gainer |
2228.0% |
2547.0% |
2452.0% |
2852.0% |
2432.0% |
1892.0% |
1807.0% |
11483.0% |
11483.0% |
| Maximum Loser |
-82.0% |
-53.0% |
-67.0% |
-100.0% |
-83.0% |
-100.0% |
-78.0% |
-100.0% |
-100.0% |
| Annualized Average Gain |
15.4% |
14.6% |
13.2% |
12.0% |
12.2% |
11.7% |
9.1% |
6.7% |
8.4% |
| Annualized Median Gain |
12.1% |
10.6% |
9.8% |
9.3% |
8.2% |
7.3% |
6.0% |
1.1% |
3.1% |
For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank
Also read:
Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety
Franklin Wireless (Franklin Wireless) Business Description
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
9707 Waples Street, Suite 150, San Diego, CA, USA, 92121
Franklin Wireless Corp is a provider of wireless solutions, including mobile hotspots, routers, and modems, as well as hardware and software products that support machine-to-machine (M2M) applications and the Internet of Things (IoT). Its M2M and IoT solutions include embedded modules, modems, and gateways built to deliver reliable always-on connectivity supporting a spectrum of applications. These products are designed to solve wireless connectivity challenges in a range of vertical markets, including video surveillance, digital signage, home security, oil and gas exploration, kiosks, fleet management, smart grid, vehicle diagnostics, and telematics.
Executives
| Kristina S Kim |
director |
7612 SEATTLE DRIVE, LA MESA CA 91941 |
| Joon Won Jyoung |
director |
C/O FRANKLIN WIRELESS CORP., 6205 LUSK BLVD., SAN DIEGO CA 92121 |
| Oc Kim |
director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer |
5440 MOREHOUSE DR., SUITE 1000, SAN DIEGO CA 92121 |
| Yun J Lee |
officer: Senior Vice President |
5440 MOREHOUSE DR., SUITE 1000, SAN DIEGO CA 92121 |
| Heidy Kingwan Chow |
director |
92 KESTREL, IRVINE CA 92618 |
| Johnathan Wonjong Chee |
director |
8951 N. MILWAUKEE AVE #202, NILES IL 60714 |
| Richard T Walker |
officer: Chief Financial Officer |
6205 LUSK BLVD, SAN DIEGO CA 92121 |
| David S Oros |
other: No longer member of group |
9777 PYRAMID COURT, SUITE 100, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112 |
| Karen Singer |
other: member of 13(d) group 10%owner |
212 VACCARO DRIVE, CRESSKILL NJ 07626 |
| Miller Lloyd I Iii |
other: Member of 13(d) group 10%owner |
|
| Steven Sherman |
other: Member of 13(d) group 10%owner |
|
| Benjamin J Chung |
director |
2218 AVONDALE DRIVE, FULLERTON CA 92833 |
| Gary Wendel Nelson |
director |
5440 MOREHOUSE DR., SUITE 1000, SAN DIEGO CA 92121 |
| Jae Man Lee |
director, 10 percent owner |
9823 PACIFIC HEIGHTS BLVD #J, SAN DIEGO CA 92121 |
| David (kwangho) Kim |
director |
C/O WESTECH KOREA, INC., 548-9 GA JWA 3-DONG, SEO-GU, INCEHON M4 00000 |
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