Graphite Bio (Graphite Bio) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2021. Start your Free Trial

What is Graphite Bio Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Graphite Bio Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Graphite Bio Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Graphite Bio's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Graphite Bio (Graphite Bio) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Graphite Bio Inc (NAS:GRPH) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

201 Haskins Way, Suite 210, South San Francisco, CA, USA, 94080

Website

https://www.graphitebio.com

Graphite Bio Inc is a clinical-stage gene-editing company harnessing gene integration to develop a new class of therapies to cure serious and life-threatening diseases. Its gene-editing platform allows to precisely correct mutations, replace entire disease-causing genes with normal genes, or insert new genes into predetermined, safe locations. Its product candidate GPH101 is a differentiated approach with the potential to directly correct the mutation that causes sickle cell disease (SCD) and restore normal adult hemoglobin (HgbA) expression. All of the company's long-lived assets are based in the United States.

Executives

Kimberlee C Drapkin	director	PREDIX PHARMACEUTICALS HOLDINGS, INC., 4 MAGUIRE ROAD, LEXINGTON MA 02421
Ecor1 Capital, Llc	10 percent owner	357 TEHAMA STREET #3, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Samsara Biocapital, L.p.	10 percent owner	628 MIDDLEFIELD ROAD, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Phil Gutry	officer: CHIEF BUSINESS OFFICER	400 E. PRATT STREET, SUITE 606, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Alethia Young	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O GRAPHITE BIO, INC., 201 HASKINS WAY, SUITE 210, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Versant Ventures Vi Gp, L.p.	10 percent owner	ONE SANSOME STREET, SUITE 3630, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Matthew Porteus	director	C/O GRAPHITE BIO, INC., 279 EAST GRAND AVENUE, SUITE 430, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Katherine V Stultz	officer: CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER	C/O GRAPHITE BIO, INC., 279 EAST GRAND AVENUE, SUITE 430, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Abraham Bassan	director	C/O GRAPHITE BIO, INC., 279 EAST GRAND AVENUE, SUITE 430, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
L.p. 436,	10 percent owner	628 MIDDLEFIELD ROAD, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Versant Vantage Ii Gp, L.p.	10 percent owner	ONE SANSOME STREET, SUITE 1650, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Versant Vantage Ii Gp-gp, Llc	10 percent owner	ONE SANSOME STREET, SUITE 1650, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Versant Vantage Ii, L.p.	10 percent owner	ONE SANSOME STREET, SUITE 1650, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Rizzuto Carlo	director	ONE SANSOME STREET, SUITE 1650, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Smital Shah	director	C/O PLIANT THERAPEUTICS, INC., 260 LITTLEFIELD AVENUE, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080