Masimo (Masimo) Predictability Rank

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What is Masimo Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Masimo Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Masimo (Masimo) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Medical Devices & Instruments » Masimo Corp (NAS:MASI) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

MASI:Mexico 3M4:Germany 3M4:Germany

Address

52 Discovery, Irvine, CA, USA, 92618

Website

https://www.masimo.com

Masimo Corp is a global technology company. The company's segment includes healthcare and non-healthcare. The healthcare business segment is a key revenue driver, develops, manufactures, and markets a variety of noninvasive patient monitoring technologies, hospital automation and connectivity solutions, remote monitoring devices and consumer health products. Its non-healthcare segment includes consumer audio business develops, manufactures, markets sells and licenses premium and luxury audio sound products and related integration technologies.

Executives

Rolf A Classon	director	C/O CATALENT, INC., 14 SCHOOLHOUSE ROAD, SOMERSET NJ 08873
Politan Capital Management Gp Llc	other: Director by deputization	106 WEST 56TH STREET, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Politan Capital Partners Gp Llc	other: Director by deputization	106 WEST 56TH STREET, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Quentin Koffey	other: Director by deputization	POLITAN CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP, 106 WEST 56TH STREET, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Politan Capital Management Lp	other: Director by deputization	106 WEST 56TH STREET, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Michelle Brennan	director	1855 S. GRANT STREET, SAN MATEO CA 94402
Joe E Kiani	director, officer: CEO and Chairman of the Board	4320 FOREST PARK AVENUE, SUITE 100, ST. LOUIS MO 63108
Paul Hataishi	officer: SVP, Chief Accounting Officer	C/O MASIMO CORPORATION, 52 DISCOVERY, IRVINE CA 92618
Blair Tripodi	officer: COO, Consumer Division	C/O MASIMO CORPORATION, 52 DISCOVERY, IRVINE CA 92618
Kevin P Duffy	officer: President, Consumer	1 VIPER WAY, VISTA CA 92081
Adam Mikkelson	director	C/O MASIMO CORPORATION, 52 DISCOVERY, IRVINE CA 92618
Tao Levy	officer: EVP BUS DEV	C/O MASIMO CORPORATION, 52 DISCOVERY, IRVINE CA 92618
Micah W Young	officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer	C/O MASIMO CORPORATION, 52 DISCOVERY, IRVINE CA 92618
Thomas Samuel Mcclenahan	officer: EVP & GENERAL COUNSEL	40 PARKER, IRVINE CA 92618
Craig B Reynolds	director	1046 MIDDLEBROOK WAY, KENESAW GA 30144