OneWater Marine (OneWater Marine) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2020. Start your Free Trial

What is OneWater Marine Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

OneWater Marine Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

OneWater Marine Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of OneWater Marine's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

OneWater Marine (OneWater Marine) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Retail - Cyclical » OneWater Marine Inc (NAS:ONEW) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

6275 Lanier Islands Parkway, Buford, GA, USA, 30518

Website

https://www.onewatermarine.com

OneWater Marine Inc is a recreational marine retailer in the United States. The company operates in two segment- Dealerships and Distribution. Its dealer groups are located throughout the Southeast, Gulf Coast, Mid-Atlantic, and Northeast. The company's revenue profile is comprised of new boat sales, pre-owned boat sales, finance and insurance products, repair and maintenance services, and parts and accessories. Majority of revenue is generated from sale of new boats.

Executives

Singleton Philip Austin Jr.	director, officer: CEO and Director	6275 LANIER ISLANDS PARKWAY, BUFORD GA 30518
John Schraudenbach	director	6275 LANIER ISLANDS PARKWAY, BUFORD GA 30518
Jeffrey B. Lamkin	director	6275 LANIER ISLANDS PARKWAY, BUFORD GA 30518
Anthony M Aisquith	officer: President and COO	C/O ONE WATER MARINE INC., 6275 LANIER ISLANDS PARKWAY, BUFORD GA 30518
Carmen Bauza	director	2400 WEST CENTRAL ROAD, HOFFMAN ESTATES IL 60192
J Steven Roy	director	6275 LANIER ISLANDS PARKWAY, BUFORD GA 30518
Mitchell W Legler	director	C/O STEIN MORT INC, 1200 RIVERPLACE BLVD, JACKSONVILLE FL 32207
Shell Greg Allen Sr.	director	200 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
John Troiano	director	6275 LANIER ISLANDS PARKWAY, BUFORD GA 30518
Jack P Ezzell	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O ONEWATER MARINE INC., 6275 LANIER ISLANDS PARKWAY, BUFORD GA 30518
Keith Style	director	C/O ASBURY AUTOMOTIVE GROUP, INC., 2905 PREMIERE PARKWAY NW, SUITE 300, DULUTH GA 30097
Michelle Singleton	other: Member of 10% Ownership Group	6275 LANIER ISLANDS PARKWAY, BUFORD GA 30518
Owmh, Lllp Auburn	other: Member of 10% Ownership Group	6275 LANIER ISLANDS PARKWAY, BUFORD GA 30518
Austin Singleton Irrevocable Trust, Dated December 30, 2015	other: Member of 10% Ownership Group	6275 LANIER ISLANDS PARKWAY, BUFORD GA 30518
Philip Singleton Irrevocable Trust, Dated December 24, 2015	other: Member of 10% Ownership Group	6275 LANIER ISLANDS PARKWAY, BUFORD GA 30518