Nemaura Medical (Nemaura Medical) Predictability Rank

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What is Nemaura Medical Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Nemaura Medical Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Nemaura Medical (Nemaura Medical) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Medical Devices & Instruments » Nemaura Medical Inc (OTCPK:NMRD) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

57 West 57th Street, New York, NY, USA, 10019

Website

https://www.nemauramedical.com

Nemaura Medical Inc is a medical technology company developing sugarBEAT as a non-invasive, affordable, and flexible Continuous Glucose Monitor (CGM) designed for people with diabetes and pre-diabetics to manage their glucose levels. Insulin users can adjunctively use sugarBEAT when calibrated with a finger-stick glucose reading. SugarBEAT consists of a daily disposable adhesive skin patch connected to a rechargeable transmitter with an app displaying glucose readings at five-minute intervals for periods up to 24 hours.

Executives

Bashir Timol	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Business Officer	C/O ONE E GROUP LIMITED, UNIT 3A, SPRINGFIELD COURT, SUMMERFIELD ROAD, BOLTON X0 BL32NT
Chowdhury Dewan Fazlul Hoque	director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO & President	CHAMWOOD BUILDING, HOLYWELL PARK, ASHBURY ROAD, LOUGHBOROUGH LEICS X0 LE113AQ
Salim Natha	director	LOUGHBOROUGHUNIVERSITYSCIENCE&ENTERPRISE, PARKS, 5 OAKWOOD DRIVE, LOUGHBOROUGH, LEICESTERSHIRE X0 LE113QF
Justin James Mclarney	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O NEMAURA MEDICAL INC., 57 WEST 57TH STREET, MANHATTAN NY 10019
Sufyan Ismail	10 percent owner	C/O ONE E GROUP LIMITED, UNIT 3A, SPRINGFIELD COURT, SUMMERFIELD ROAD, BOLTON X0 BL32NT
Thomas Peter Moore	director	C/O NEMAURA MEDICAL, INC., 57 WEST 57TH STREET, MANHATTAN NY 10019
Timothy Christopher Johnson	director	C/O NEMAURA MEDICAL INC., 57 WEST 57TH STREET, MANHATTAN NY 10019
Iain Anderson	officer: CFO	LOUGHBOROUGHUNIVERSITYSCIENCE&ENTERPRISE, PARKS, 5 OAKWOOD DRIVE, LOUGHBOROUGH, LEICESTERSHIRE X0 LE113QF
Kathryn Farrar	officer: Director of Finance	C/O ONE E GROUP LIMITED, UNIT 3A, SPRINGFIELD COURT, SUMMERFIELD ROAD, BOLTON X0 BL32NT
Julie Pomeroy	officer: Director of Finance	C/O ONE E GROUP LIMITED, UNIT 3A, SPRINGFIELD COURT, SUMMERFIELD ROAD, BOLTON X0 BL32NT
Richard Toon	officer: Technical & Bus. Dev. Manager	C/O ONE E GROUP LIMITED, UNIT 3A, SPRINGFIELD COURT, SUMMERFIELD ROAD, BOLTON X0 BL32NT