Envista Holdings (Envista Holdings) Predictability Rank

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What is Envista Holdings Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Envista Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Envista Holdings Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Envista Holdings (Envista Holdings) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Medical Devices & Instruments » Envista Holdings Corp (NYSE:NVST) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

0HV:Germany 0HV:Germany

Address

200 S. Kraemer Boulevard, Building E, Brea, CA, USA, 92821

Website

https://www.envistaco.com

Envista Holdings Corp is a dental products company. It develops, manufactures, and markets portfolios of dental consumables, equipment, and services to dental professionals. The company's business consists of two segments comprising Specialty Products and Technologies and Equipment and Consumables. The Company's Specialty Products & Technologies segment develops, manufactures, and markets dental implant systems, including regenerative solutions, dental prosthetics, and associated treatment software and technologies, as well as orthodontic bracket systems, aligners, and lab products. The Company's Equipment & Consumables segment manufactures dental equipment and supplies used in dental offices, including digital imaging systems, software and other visualization/magnification systems.

Executives

Eric Conley	officer: SVP, Orthodontics	200 S. KRAEMER BLVD, BLDG E, BREA CA 92821
Mark E Nance	officer: Senior Vice President, GC, Sec	1333 S SPECTRUM BLVD #100, CHANDLER AZ 85286
Stephen Keller	officer: Principal Financial Officer	200 S. KRAEMER BLVD., BUILDING E, BREA CA 92821
Amir Aghdaei	director, officer: PRESIDENT AND CEO	C/O CREDENCE SYSTEMS CORPORATION, 1421 CALIFORNIA CIRCLE, MILPITAS CA 95035
Faez C Kaabi	officer: Chief Accounting Officer	200 S. KRAEMER BLVD., BUILDING E, BREA CA 92821
Howard H Yu	officer: SENIOR VICE PRESIDENT, CFO	250 S. KRAEMER BLVD., BREA CA 92821
Mischa Reis	officer: SENIOR VICE PRESIDENT	C/O ENVISTA HOLDINGS CORPORATION, 200 S. KRAEMER BLVD, BLDG. E, BREA CA 92821
Curt W Bludworth	officer: SENIOR VICE PRESIDENT, CHRO	250 S. KRAEMER BLVD., BREA CA 92821
Barbara B. Hulit	director	C/O FORTIVE CORPORATION, 6920 SEAWAY BLVD, EVERETT WA 98203
Jeffrey Kappler	officer: SENIOR VICE PRESIDENT	C/O ENVISTA HOLDINGS CORPORATION, 200 S. KRAEMER BLVD, BLDG. E, BREA CA 92821
Teresa Gayle Sheppard	director	C/O ENVISTA HOLDINGS CORPORATION, 200 S. KRAEMER BLVD., BLDG. E, BREA CA 92821
Vivek Jain	director	ICU MEDICAL, INC., 951 CALLE AMANECER, SAN CLEMENTE CA 92673
Jean-claude Kyrillos	officer: Senior Vice President	C/O ENVISTA HOLDINGS CORPORATION, 200 S. KRAEMER BLVD., BLDG. E, BREA CA 92821
Kieran Gallahue	director	PO BOX 684369, PARK CITY UT 84068
William K Daniel	director	2135 WEST MAPLE ROAD, TROY MI 48084