Nuvve Holding (Nuvve Holding) Predictability Rank

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What is Nuvve Holding Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Nuvve Holding Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Nuvve Holding (Nuvve Holding) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Retail - Cyclical » Nuvve Holding Corp (NAS:NVVE) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

2488 Historic Decatur Road, Suite 200, San Diego, CA, USA, 92106

Website

https://www.nuvve.com

Nuvve Holding Corp is accelerating the electrification of transportation through its proprietary vehicle-to-grid (V2G) technology. It helps to support the integration of renewable energy sources, including solar and wind. Its Grid Integrated Vehicle (GIV) platform is refueling the next generation of electric vehicle fleets through bidirectional charging solutions.

Executives

David Robson	officer: Chief Financial Officer	FARMER BROS.CO., 1912 FARMER BROTHERS DR, NORTHLAKE TX 76262
Gregory Poilasne	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O NUVVE HOLDING CORP., 2468 HISTORIC DECATUR ROAD, SAN DIEGO CA 92106
Stonepeak Gp Investors Holdings Lp	10 percent owner	55 HUDSON YARDS, 550 WEST 34TH STREET, 48TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Stonepeak Gp Investors Upper Holdings Lp	10 percent owner	55 HUDSON YARDS, 550 WEST 34TH STREET, 48TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Stonepeak Gp Investors Holdings Manager Llc	10 percent owner	55 HUDSON YARDS, 550 WEST 34TH STREET, 48TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Ted C. Smith	director, officer: President & COO	C/O NUVVE HOLDING CORP., 2468 HISTORIC DECATUR ROAD, SAN DIEGO CA 92106
Lande Rashida La	director	C/O THE KRAFT HEINZ COMPANY, ONE PPG PLACE, SUITE 3200, PITTSBURGH PA 15222
Stonepeak Rocket Holdings Ii Lp	10 percent owner	55 HUDSON YARDS, 550 WEST 34TH STREET, 48TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Stonepeak Gp Investors Iv Llc	10 percent owner	55 HUDSON YARDS, 550 WEST 34TH STREET, 48TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Stonepeak Associates Iv Llc	10 percent owner	55 HUDSON YARDS, 550 WEST 34TH STREET, 48TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Evolve Transition Infrastructure Lp	10 percent owner	1360 POST OAK BLVD, SUITE 2400, HOUSTON TX 77056
Stonepeak Rocket Holdings Lp	10 percent owner	55 HUDSON YARDS, 550 WEST 34TH STREET, 48TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Stonepeak Rocket Upper Holdings Lp	10 percent owner	55 HUDSON YARDS, 550 WEST 34TH STREET, 48TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Stonepeak Gp Investors Manager Llc	10 percent owner	55 HUDSON YARDS, 550 W. 34TH STREET, 48TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Michael B. Dorrell	10 percent owner	55 HUDSON YARDS, 550 W. 34TH STREET, 48TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001