Regenetp (Regenetp) Predictability Rank

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What is Regenetp Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Regenetp Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Regenetp (Regenetp) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Regenetp Inc (OTCPK:RGTPQ) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

1960 South 4250 West, Salt Lake City, UT, USA, 84104

Website

https://www.polarityte.com

Regenetp Inc Formerly PolarityTE Inc is a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing regenerative tissue products and biomaterials. It's focused on transforming the lives of patients by discovering, designing, and developing regenerative tissue products and biomaterials for the fields of medicine, biomedical engineering, and material sciences. Its product includes SkinTE used for repair, reconstruction, replacement, or regeneration of the skin in patients who have or require treatment of acute and chronic wounds, burns, surgical reconstruction events, scar revision, or removal of dysfunctional skin grafts. It operates in two segments: the regenerative medicine business segment and the contract research segment.

Executives

Peter A Cohen	director	40 WEST 57TH STREET, SUITE 2020, NEW YORK NY 10019
David B Seaburg	director	1960 S 4250 W, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84104
Richard Hague	officer: Chief Operating Officer	1960 S 4250 W, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84104
Cameron J. Hoyler	other: General Counsel	1960 S 4250 W, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84104
Jeffrey Hansen Dyer	director	4041-T HADLEY ROAD, SOUTH PLAINFIELD NJ 07080
Jessica Xiaolin Shen	director	POLARITYTE, INC. (NASDAQ: PTE), 1960 S. 4250 WEST, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84104
Chris Nolet	director	C/O REVANCE THERAPEUTICS, INC., 7555 GATEWAY BOULEVARD, NEWARK CA 94560
Paul Elliot Mann	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O ASP ISOTOPES INC., 433 PLAZA REAL, SUITE 275, BOCA RATON FL 33432
Jacob Alexander Patterson	officer: Chief Financial Officer	14822 S. ROSESCAPE CIRCLE, HERRIMAN UT 84096
Denver Lough	10 percent owner, other: Prior D&O within 90 days	4041-T HADLEY ROAD, SOUTH PLAINFIELD NJ 07080
Rainer M Erdtmann	director	1073 ARLINGTON BLVD., EL CERRITO CA 94530
Edward Winslow Swanson	director, officer: Chief Operating Officer	181 DANTE AVE., TUCKAHOE NY 07070
Steve Gorlin	director	150 GULF SHORE DRIVE, UNIT 601, DESTIN FL 32541
Minnie Baylor-henry	director	C/O SCPHARMACUETICALS, INC., 2400 DISTRICT AVENUE SUITE 310, BURLINGTON MA 01803
Willie C Bogan	director	1943, ROSECREST DRIVE, OAKLAND CA 94602