Sotera Health Co (Sotera Health Co) Predictability Rank

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What is Sotera Health Co Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Sotera Health Co Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Sotera Health Co (Sotera Health Co) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Medical Diagnostics & Research » Sotera Health Co (NAS:SHC) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

9100 South Hills Boulevard, Suite 300, Broadview Heights, OH, USA, 44147

Website

https://investors.soterahealth.com

Sotera Health Co provides sterilization, analytical lab testing, and advisory services to help ensure that medical, pharmaceutical and food products are safe for healthcare practitioners, patients, and consumers. The company operates in three segments: Sterigenics, Nordion, and Nelson Labs. Sterigenics provides outsourced terminal sterilization and irradiation services for medical device, pharmaceutical, food safety, and advanced applications; Nordion provides Co-60 and gamma irradiators, which are the key components to the gamma sterilization process; and Nelson Labs provides outsourced microbiological and analytical chemistry testing for the medical device and pharmaceutical industries. Its geographical segments are the United States, Canada, Europe, and other regions.

Executives

Jonathan M. Lyons	officer: Sr. Vice President, CFO	9100 SOUTH HILLS BLVD., SUITE 300, BROADVIEW HEIGHTS OH 44147
Robert Brown Knauss	director	C/O WARBURG PINCUS LLC, 450 LEXINGTON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
David E. Wheadon	director	C/O ASSERTIO THERAPEUTICS, INC., 100 SOUTH SAUNDERS ROAD, SUITE 300, LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Alexander Dimitrief	officer: SVP, General Counsel and Sec.	GENERAL ELECTRIC COMPANY, 41 FARNSWORTH STREET, BOSTON MA 02210
Michael F Biehl	officer: Interim CFO	5885 LANDBROOK DRIVE SUITE 205, CLEVELAND OH 44124
Terry Hammons	officer: SVP, GC and Secretary	C/O SIMPSON MANUFACTURING CO., INC., 5956 W LAS POSITAS BLVD, PLEASANTON CA 94588
Michael P Rutz	officer: President of Sterigenics	8755 WEST HIGGINS ROAD, SUITE 500, CHICAGO IL 60631
Wp Xi Partners, L.p.	director, 10 percent owner	C/O WARBURG PINCUS LLC, 450 LEXINGTON AVENUE, 450 LEXINGTON AVENUE NY 10017
Warburg Pincus & Co.	director, 10 percent owner	450 LEXINGTON AVENUE, NEW YORK, NY NY 100173147
Gtcr Fund Xi/a Lp	director, 10 percent owner	300 NORTH LASALLE STREET, SUITE 5600, CHICAGO IL 60654
Matthew J Klaben	officer: SVP, GC and Secretary	ONE INFINITY CORPORATE CENTRE DRIVE, SUITE 300, GARFIELD HEIGHTS OH 44125
Petras Michael B. Jr.	director, officer: Chairman & CEO	9100 SOUTH HILLS BLVD, SUITE 300, BROADVIEW HEIGHTS OH 44147
Stephanie Geveda	director	450 LEXINGTON AVENUE, C/O WARBURG PINCUS LLC, NEW YORK NY 10017
Sean Laurence Cunningham	director	300 N. LASALLE SUITE 5600, CHICAGO IL 60654
Scott J. Leffler	officer: CFO and Treasurer	C/O CLOVER HEALTH INVESTMENTS, CORP., 3401 MALLORY LANE, SUITE 210, FRANKLIN TN 37067