Sonder Holdings (Sonder Holdings) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2022. Start your Free Trial

What is Sonder Holdings Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Sonder Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Sonder Holdings Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Sonder Holdings's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Sonder Holdings (Sonder Holdings) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Travel & Leisure » Sonder Holdings Inc (NAS:SOND) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

SOND:Mexico

Address

101 15th Street, San Francisco, CA, USA, 94103

Website

https://www.sonder.com

Sonder Holdings Inc is engaged in providing short and long-term accommodations to travelers in various cities across North America, Europe, and the Middle East. The Sonder units in each apartment-style building and each hotel property are selected, designed, and managed directly by the Company. The Company generates revenues by providing short-term or month-to-month accommodations to its guests.

Executives

Christopher Michael Berry	officer: Chief Accounting Officer	C/O SONDER HOLDINGS INC., 101 15TH ST., SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Francis Davidson	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O SONDER HOLDINGS, INC., 101 15TH ST, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Philip L Rothenberg	officer: General Counsel & Secretary	C/O SONDER HOLDINGS, INC., 101 15TH ST, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Dominique Bourgault	officer: Chief Financial Officer	6802 AZALEA WAY SE, SNOQUALMIE WA 98065
Prashant Aggarwal	director	C/O ARLO TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 350 EAST PLUMERIA DR, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Martin Picard	officer: Global Head of Real Estate	C/O SONDER HOLDINGS, INC., 101 15TH ST, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Michelle M Frymire	director	C/O SPIRIT REALTY CAPITAL, INC., 2727 N. HARWOOD STREET, SUITE 300, DALLAS TX 75201
Nabeel A Hyatt	director	C/O SONDER HOLDINGS, INC., 101 15TH ST, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Van Paasschen Frits D	director	C/O STARWOOD HOTELS & RESORTS WORLDWIDE, 1111 WESTCHESTER AVENUE, WHITE PLAINS NY 10604
Gilda Perez-alvarado	director	C/O SONDER HOLDINGS, INC., 101 15TH ST., SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Janice L. Sears	director	1100 PARK PLACE, SUITE 200, SAN MATEO CA 94403
Sanjay D Banker	officer: President and CFO	C/O SONDER HOLDINGS, INC., 101 15TH ST, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Ritesh K Patel	officer: VP, Controller	C/O SONDER HOLDINGS INC., 101 15TH ST., SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Satyen J Pandya	officer: Chief Technology Officer	C/O SONDER HOLDINGS, INC., 101 15TH ST., SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Manon Brouillette	director	40 AVENUE SPRINGGROVE, MONTREAL Z4 H3C 4M8