Streamline Health Solutions (Streamline Health Solutions) Predictability Rank

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What is Streamline Health Solutions Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Streamline Health Solutions Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Streamline Health Solutions (Streamline Health Solutions) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Healthcare Providers & Services » Streamline Health Solutions Inc (NAS:STRM) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

LV1:Germany

Address

2400 Old Milton Parkway, Box 1353, Alpharetta, GA, USA, 30009

Website

https://www.streamlinehealth.net

Streamline Health Solutions Inc provides transformational data-driven solutions for healthcare organizations. It provides computer software-based solutions through its looking glass platform. Its solutions include coding and CDI, coding audit, and financial management solutions. It offers various services, such as custom integration services, training services, electronic image conversion and database monitoring services. It sells its solutions and services in North America to hospitals and health systems, including physician practices, through its direct sales force and its reseller partnerships.

Executives

Reeves Bryant J Iii	officer: Interim CFO	2400 OLD MILTON PARKWAY, BOX 1353, ALPHARETTA GA 30009
Benjamin Louis Stilwill	officer: President	4512 BAKER STREET, PHILADELPHIA PA 19127
Kenan Lucas	director	C/O HARBERT MANAGEMENT CORPORATION, 2100 THIRD AVENUE NORTH, SUITE 600, BIRMINGHAM AL 35203
Wendy L Lucio	officer: Chief People Officer	101 ABBY LANE, CARROLLTON GA 30117
Tamarack Global Healthcare Fund Qp, L.p.	other: Member of a group	5050 AVENIDA ENCINAS, SUITE 360, CARLSBAD CA 92008
David Driscoll	officer: SVP & Chief Revenue Officer	1175 PEACHTREE STREET NE, 10TH FLOOR, ATLANTA GA 30361
Raymond J Harbert	10 percent owner	2100 THIRD AVENUE NORTH, SUITE 600, BIRMINGHAM AL 35203
Tamarack Capital Gp, Llc	10 percent owner	5050 AVENIDA ENCINAS, SUITE 360, CARLSBAD CA 92008
Tamarack Advisers, Lp	10 percent owner	5050 AVENIDA ENCINAS, SUITE 360, CARLSBAD CA 92008
Tamarack Capital Management, Llc	10 percent owner	5050 AVENIDA ENCINAS, SUITE 360, CARLSBAD CA 92008
Tamarack Global Healthcare Fund, L.p.	10 percent owner	5050 AVENIDA ENCINAS, SUITE 360, CARLSBAD CA 92008
Justin John Ferayorni	10 percent owner	5050 AVENIDA ENCINAS, SUITE 360, CARLSBAD CA 92008
Judith Starkey	director	1327 PEACHTREE STREET, UNIT 803, ATLANTA GA 30309
Jonathan R Phillips	director	792 CHATHAM AVENUE, ELMHURST IL 60126
Green Wyche T Iii	director	P.O. BOX 1510, FRANKLIN GA 30217