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Uniti Group (Uniti Group) Predictability Rank


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What is Uniti Group Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.


Uniti Group Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Uniti Group Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Uniti Group's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Uniti Group (Uniti Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2101 Riverfront Drive, Suite A, Little Rock, AR, USA, 72202
Uniti is a REIT with about 135,000 route miles of fiber in the U.S., primarily in the Southeast. Uniti reports its business in two segments: leasing and fiber. Leasing currently makes up about 75% of total revenue and consists mostly of Uniti's master lease agreement with Windstream. Uniti was spun out of Windstream in 2015 with a substantial portion of Windstream's network assets, and it immediately leased the entire portfolio back for Windstream's exclusive use. Other leasing revenue stems from sale-leaseback transactions with other fiber holders. Uniti generates fiber revenue by leasing dark and lit fiber to wireless carriers and other enterprises.
Executives
Kenny Gunderman director, officer: See Remarks C/O AMERICA'S CAR-MART, INC., 802 SE PLAZA AVE, SUITE 200, BENTONVILLE AR 72712
Michael Friloux officer: EVP - Chief Technology Officer 2101 RIVERFRONT DRIVE, SUITE A, LITTLE ROCK AR 72202
Paul Bullington officer: Interim CFO and PFO 2101 RIVERFRONT DRIVE, SUITE A, LITTLE ROCK AR 72202
Travis Black officer: Interim PAO 2101 RIVERFRONT DRIVE, SUITE A, LITTLE ROCK AR 72202
Carmen Perez-carlton director 2101 RIVERFRONT DRIVE, SUITE A, LITTLE ROCK AR 72202
David L Solomon director 5847 SAN FELIPE SUITE 320, HOUSTON TX 77057
Blake Schuhmacher officer: Principal Accounting Officer 10802 EXECUTIVE CENTER DRIVE, BENTON BUILDING, SUITE 300, LITTLE ROCK AR 72211
Daniel L Heard officer: See Remarks 2101 RIVERFRONT DRIVE, SUITE A, LITTLE ROCK AR 72202
Ronald J. Mudry officer: EVP-Pres of Fiber Operations 10802 EXECUTIVE CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 300, LITTLE ROCK AR 72211
Andrew Frey director 10802 EXECUTIVE CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 300, LITTLE ROCK AR 72211
Scott G. Bruce director 10802 EXECUTIVE CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 300, LITTLE ROCK AR 72211
Windstream Holdings, Inc. 10 percent owner 4001 RODNEY PARHAM RD., LITTLE ROCK AR 72212
Windstream Services, Llc 10 percent owner 4001 RODNEY PARHAM ROAD, LITTLE ROCK AR 72212
Jennifer S Banner director 214N TRYON STREET, CHARLOTTE NC 28202
Francis X Frantz director ONE ALLIED DRIVE, LITTLE ROCK AR 72202