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Aileron Therapeutics (Aileron Therapeutics) Altman Z2-Score : -8.93 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Aileron Therapeutics Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

Aileron Therapeutics has a Altman Z2-Score of -8.93, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Aileron Therapeutics's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ALRN' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -44.44   Med: -18.96   Max: 4.75
Current: -8.93

During the past 9 years, Aileron Therapeutics's highest Altman Z2-Score was 4.75. The lowest was -44.44. And the median was -18.96.


Aileron Therapeutics Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Aileron Therapeutics's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Aileron Therapeutics Altman Z2-Score Chart

Aileron Therapeutics Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only -26.84 -44.44 -4.15 -37.46 -8.93

Aileron Therapeutics Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -37.46 -51.38 -56.28 -65.32 -8.93

Competitive Comparison of Aileron Therapeutics's Altman Z2-Score

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Aileron Therapeutics's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Aileron Therapeutics's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Aileron Therapeutics's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aileron Therapeutics's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Aileron Therapeutics Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Aileron Therapeutics's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.1309+3.26*-2.7217+6.72*-0.1479+1.05*0.0695
=-8.93

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $106.01 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $18.27 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $4.39 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-288.52 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -7.283 + -1.827 + -1.787 + -4.779 = $-15.68 Mil.
Interest Expense was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0.00 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $99.12 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(18.266 - 4.385)/106.008
=0.1309

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-288.517/106.008
=-2.7217

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-15.676 - 0)/106.008
=-0.1479

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(6.887 - 0)/99.121
=0.0695

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Aileron Therapeutics has a Altman Z2-Score of -8.93 indicating it is in Distress Zones.


Aileron Therapeutics  (NAS:ALRN) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Aileron Therapeutics Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

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Aileron Therapeutics (Aileron Therapeutics) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
285 Summer Street, Unit 101, Boston, MA, USA, 02210
Aileron Therapeutics Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company. It is focused on developing a novel class of therapeutics for the treatment of cancer and other diseases. The company's lead product candidate, ALRN-6924 is a novel chemoprotective medicine to treat and protect healthy cells in patients with cancer that harbors p53 mutations to reduce or eliminate chemotherapy-induced side effects.
Executives
James Brian Windsor officer: See Remarks 2600 VIA FORTUNA, SUITE 360, AUSTIN TX 78746
William Fairey director C/O CHEMOCENTRYX, INC., 850 MAUDE AVE., MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Alan A Musso director FULCRUM THERAPEUTICS, INC., 26 LANDSDOWNE STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Susan L. Drexler officer: See Remarks 630 W. GERMANTOWN PIKE, SUITE 215, PLYMOUTH MEETING PA 19462
Muneer A Satter 10 percent owner C/O SATTER INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC, 676 NORTH MICHIGAN AVENUE, SUITE 4000, CHICAGO IL 60611
Reinhard J. Ambros director C/O AILERON THERAPEUTICS, INC., 281 ALBANY STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Von Rickenbach Josef H director C/O PAREXEL INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION, WALTHAM MA 02451-1163
Jeffrey Allen Bailey director BIODELIVERY SCIENCES INTERNATIONAL, INC., 4131 PARKLAKE AVE., SUITE 225, RALEIGH NC 27612
Vojo Vukovic officer: SVP, Chief Medical Officer C/O SYNTA PHARMACEUTICALS CORP., 45 HARTWELL AVENUE, LEXINGTON MA 02421
Kathryn Gregory officer: SVP, Chief Business Officer 305 THAYER POND ROAD, WILTON CT 06897
William Mckee director
Nolan Howard Sigal director 941 BERRY AVENUE, LOS ALTOS CA 94024
Novartis Bioventures Ltd 10 percent owner C/O NOVARTIS INTERNATIONAL AG, WSJ-200.220, CH-4002 BASEL V8 0000000000
Rick Wanstall officer: VP, Finance and Operations C/O AILERON THERAPEUTICS, INC., 490 ARSENAL WAY, WATERTOWN MA 02472
Longenecker John P Phd officer: President and CEO 10445 PACIFIC CENTER CT, SAN DIEGO CA 92121

Aileron Therapeutics (Aileron Therapeutics) Headlines

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