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Air Transport Services Group (Air Transport Services Group) Altman Z2-Score : 1.25 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Air Transport Services Group Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Air Transport Services Group has a Altman Z2-Score of 1.25, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Air Transport Services Group is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.1, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Air Transport Services Group's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ATSG' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.38   Med: 0.69   Max: 1.94
Current: 1.25

During the past 13 years, Air Transport Services Group's highest Altman Z2-Score was 1.94. The lowest was 0.38. And the median was 0.69.


Air Transport Services Group Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Air Transport Services Group's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Air Transport Services Group Altman Z2-Score Chart

Air Transport Services Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.60 0.67 1.84 1.94 1.25

Air Transport Services Group Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.94 1.74 1.56 1.42 1.25

Competitive Comparison of Air Transport Services Group's Altman Z2-Score

For the Airlines subindustry, Air Transport Services Group's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Air Transport Services Group's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Air Transport Services Group's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Air Transport Services Group's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Air Transport Services Group Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Air Transport Services Group's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*-0.014+3.26*0.1518+6.72*0.0404+1.05*0.5446
=1.25

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $3,882 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $346 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $400 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $589 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -15.591 + 23.519 + 49.742 + 26.569 = $84 Mil.
Interest Expense was -20.951 + -19.376 + -16.672 + -15.705 = $-73 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $2,513 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(345.701 - 400.189)/3882.09
=-0.014

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=589.209/3882.09
=0.1518

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(84.239 - -72.704)/3882.09
=0.0404

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(1368.702 - 0)/2513.388
=0.5446

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Air Transport Services Group has a Altman Z2-Score of 1.25 indicating it is in Grey Zones.


Air Transport Services Group  (NAS:ATSG) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Air Transport Services Group Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

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Air Transport Services Group (Air Transport Services Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
145 Hunter Drive, Wilmington, OH, USA, 45177
Air Transport Services Group Inc along with its subsidiaries operates within the airfreight and logistics industry. It leases aircraft and provides airline operations, ground services, aircraft modification and maintenance, and other support services mainly to the cargo transportation and package delivery industries. The company has two reportable segments namely Cargo Aircraft Management and ACMI Services (Aircraft, Crew, Maintenance, and Insurance). It generates a majority of its revenue from the ACMI services segment.
Executives
Koharik Edward Joseph Iii officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O AIR TRANSPORT SERVICES GROUP, INC., 145 HUNTER DRIVE, WILMINGTON OH 45177
Johns Raymond E Jr director C\O AIR TRANSPORT SERVICES GROUP, INC., 145 HUNTER DRIVE, WILMINGTON OH 45177
Michael L Berger officer: Chief Commercial Officer C\O AIR TRANSPORT SERVICES GROUP, INC., 145 HUNTER DRIVE, WILMINGTON OH 45177
Jeffrey J Vorholt director 13 VIA ROMA, PALM COAST FL 32137
Amazon Com Inc 10 percent owner 410 TERRY AVENUE NORTH, SEATTLE WA 98109
Matthew E. Fedders officer: VP, Corporate Controller C/O AIR TRANSPORT SERVICES GROUP, INC., 145 HUNTER DRIVE, WILMINGTON OH 45177
Paul Chase officer: Chief Commercial Officer C/O AIR TRANSPORT SERVICES GROUP, INC., 145 HUNTER DRIVE, WILMINGTON OH 45177
Joseph C Hete officer: President & CEO
W Joseph Payne officer: Sr. VP, General Counsel & Sec. ABX AIR INC, 145 HUNTER DRIVE, WILMINGTON OH 45177
Quint O Turner officer: Chief Financial Officer 145 HUNTER DRIVE, WILMINGTON OH 45177
Jeffrey A. Dominick director ABX HOLDINGS, INC., 145 HUNTER DRIVE, WILMINGTON OH 45177
Randy D Rademacher director ABX AIR, INC., 145 HUNTER DRIVE, WILMINGTON OH 45177
John Christopher Teets director C/O RED MOUNTAIN CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC., 10100 SANTA MONICA BOULEVARD, SUITE 925, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Richard Francis Corrado officer: Chief Commercial Officer C/O AIR TRANSPORT SERVICES GROUP, INC., 145 HUNTER DRIVE, WILMINGTON OH 45177
Phyllis J Campbell director C/O AIR TRANSPORT SERVICES GROUP, INC., 145 HUNTER DRIVE, WILMINGTON OH 45177

Air Transport Services Group (Air Transport Services Group) Headlines