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NorthStar Realty Finance (NorthStar Realty Finance) Altman Z2-Score : 0.28 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is NorthStar Realty Finance Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

NorthStar Realty Finance has a Altman Z2-Score of 0.28, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for NorthStar Realty Finance's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:


NorthStar Realty Finance Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for NorthStar Realty Finance's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

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NorthStar Realty Finance Altman Z2-Score Chart

NorthStar Realty Finance Annual Data
Trend Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15
Altman Z2-Score
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NorthStar Realty Finance Quarterly Data
Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16
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Competitive Comparison of NorthStar Realty Finance's Altman Z2-Score

For the REIT - Retail subindustry, NorthStar Realty Finance's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


NorthStar Realty Finance's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, NorthStar Realty Finance's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where NorthStar Realty Finance's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



NorthStar Realty Finance Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

NorthStar Realty Finance's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.0994+3.26*-0.2163+6.72*0.0151+1.05*0.2165
=0.28

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2016:
Total Assets was $13,364.89 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,699.24 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $370.13 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-2,891.15 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -105.284 + -125.984 + -164.194 + 110.651 = $-284.81 Mil.
Interest Expense was -114.296 + -119.48 + -126.662 + -126.113 = $-486.55 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $9,989.87 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(1699.243 - 370.13)/13364.889
=0.0994

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-2891.153/13364.889
=-0.2163

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-284.811 - -486.551)/13364.889
=0.0151

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(3102.163 - 939.118)/9989.867
=0.2165

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

NorthStar Realty Finance has a Altman Z2-Score of 0.28 indicating it is in Distress Zones.


NorthStar Realty Finance  (NYSE:NRFPRB.PFD) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


NorthStar Realty Finance Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

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NorthStar Realty Finance (NorthStar Realty Finance) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Northstar Realty Finance Corp is a Maryland corporation formed in October 2003. The Company is an internally managed REIT, and is a diversified commercial real estate investment and asset management company. NorthStar Realty Finance Limited Partnership holds all of the Company's assets and conducts its operation directly or indirectly. The Company invests in multiple asset classes across commercial real estate. These investments are in the form of acquiring real estate, originating or acquiring senior or subordinate loans, as well as CRE investments, both in the United States and internationally. The asset management business is focused on raising and managing capital on a fee basis from alternative sources, which includes non-traded real estate investment trusts, and sponsoring other companies through joint ventures and partnerships, such as RXR Realty, LLC, or RXR Realty. The Company's commercial real estate debt business is focused on originating, structuring, acquiring and managing senior and subordinate debt investments secured by commercial real estate, including first mortgage loans, subordinate interests, mezzanine loans, credit tenant loans and other loans, including preferred equity interests in borrowers who own such properties. The Company competes with many third parties engaged in real estate investment activities including publicly-traded REITs, non-traded REITs, insurance companies, commercial and investment banking firms, private equity funds. The Company is subject to supervision and regulation by state and federal governmental authorities and is subject to various laws and judicial and administrative decisions imposing various requirements and restrictions.