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AlerisLife (AlerisLife) Altman Z-Score : 0.78 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is AlerisLife Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

AlerisLife has a Altman Z-Score of 0.78, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for AlerisLife's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:


AlerisLife Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for AlerisLife's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

AlerisLife Altman Z-Score Chart

AlerisLife Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.22 1.61 2.91 2.51 1.64

AlerisLife Quarterly Data
Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.33 1.64 1.23 0.90 0.75

Competitive Comparison of AlerisLife's Altman Z-Score

For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, AlerisLife's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AlerisLife's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, AlerisLife's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AlerisLife's Altman Z-Score falls into.



AlerisLife Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

AlerisLife's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.1913+1.4*-0.8054+3.3*-0.0873+0.6*0.1936+1.0*1.8507
=0.78

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2022:
Total Assets was $382.5 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $199.3 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $126.1 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-308.1 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -8.477 + -8.814 + -9.653 + -10.52 = $-37.5 Mil.
Interest Expense was -1.474 + -1.251 + -1.032 + -0.304 = $-4.1 Mil.
Revenue was 182.659 + 171.123 + 173.143 + 181.041 = $708.0 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $44.2 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $228.2 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(199.323 - 126.131)/382.538
=0.1913

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-308.107/382.538
=-0.8054

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-37.464 - -4.061)/382.538
=-0.0873

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=44.175/228.208
=0.1936

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=707.966/382.538
=1.8507

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

AlerisLife has a Altman Z-Score of 0.78 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


AlerisLife  (NAS:ALR) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


AlerisLife Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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AlerisLife (AlerisLife) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
400 Centre Street, Newton, MA, USA, 02458-2076
AlerisLife Inc is a provider of an evolving portfolio of residential and lifestyle services to older adults, that are financially flexible and choice-based. The company operates through two reportable segments; Residential and Lifestyle services. In the Residential segment, the company manages independent living communities and assisted living communities, and through its Lifestyle services segment, it provides a comprehensive suite of rehabilitation and wellness services, including physical, occupational, speech and other specialized therapy services. With roots in senior living, it is seeking to pioneer nontraditional ways to meet the needs of coming generations of aging adults.
Executives
Adam D. Portnoy 10 percent owner C/O THE RMR GROUP LLC, TWO NEWTON PL., 255 WASH. ST., STE. 300, NEWTON MA 02458
Philip Benjamson officer: Senior Vice President & COO C/O ALERISLIFE INC., TWO NEWTON PLACE, 255 WASHINGTON STREET, NEWTON MA 02458
Heather Pereira officer: Senior Vice President & CFO C/O ALERISLIFE INC., 400 CENTRE STREET, NEWTON MA 02458
Lauren C. Cody officer: EVP & CCO C/O FIVE STAR SENIOR LIVING INC., 400 CENTRE STREET, NEWTON MA 02458
Stephen R. Geiger officer: VP & CAO C/O FIVE STAR SENIOR LIVING INC., 400 CENTRE STREET, NEWTON MA 02458
Dhc Holdings Llc 10 percent owner C/O THE RMR GROUP LLC, 255 WASHINGTON STREET, SUITE 300, NEWTON MA 02458
Jennifer B Clark director
Michael E. Wagner director C/O FIVE STAR SENIOR LIVING INC., 400 CENTRE STREET, NEWTON MA 02458
Senior Housing Properties Trust 10 percent owner C/O THE RMR GROUP, TWO NEWTON PL., 255 WASH. ST., STE. 300, NEWTON MA 02458
Ellen Snow officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O PEAR THERAPEUTICS, INC., 200 STATE STREET, 13TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02109
Margaret S. Wigglesworth officer: SVP & COO C/O FIVE STAR SENIOR LIVING INC., 400 CENTRE STREET, NEWTON MA 02458
Jeffrey C. Leer officer: CFO and Treasurer C/O FIVE STAR SENIOR LIVING INC., 400 CENTRE STREET, NEWTON MA 02458
Abp Trust 10 percent owner TWO NEWTON PLACE, 255 WASHINGTON STREET, SUITE 300, NEWTON MA 02458
Abp Acquisition Llc 10 percent owner TWO NEWTON PLACE, 255 WASHINGTON STREET, NEWTON MA 02458
Doyle Richard A Jr officer: Treasurer and C.F.O. C/O FIVE STAR QUALITY CARE, INC., 400 CENTRE STREET, NEWTON MA 02458