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FelCor Lodging Trust (FelCor Lodging Trust) Altman Z-Score : -1.37 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is FelCor Lodging Trust Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

FelCor Lodging Trust has a Altman Z-Score of -1.37, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for FelCor Lodging Trust's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:


FelCor Lodging Trust Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for FelCor Lodging Trust's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

FelCor Lodging Trust Altman Z-Score Chart

FelCor Lodging Trust Annual Data
Trend Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.07 -0.90 -0.64 -1.02 -1.14

FelCor Lodging Trust Quarterly Data
Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.11 -1.20 -1.14 -1.31 -1.39

Competitive Comparison of FelCor Lodging Trust's Altman Z-Score

For the REIT - Hotel & Motel subindustry, FelCor Lodging Trust's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


FelCor Lodging Trust's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, FelCor Lodging Trust's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where FelCor Lodging Trust's Altman Z-Score falls into.



FelCor Lodging Trust Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

FelCor Lodging Trust's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.0145+1.4*-1.6473+3.3*0.0196+0.6*0.6669+1.0*0.4914
=-1.37

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jun. 2017:
Total Assets was $1,684.0 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $126.3 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $150.7 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-2,774.2 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -0.75 + -34.928 + 1.459 + -10.007 = $-44.2 Mil.
Interest Expense was -19.416 + -19.286 + -19.127 + -19.428 = $-77.3 Mil.
Revenue was 220.44 + 188.104 + 195.923 + 222.981 = $827.4 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $1,010.5 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $1,515.2 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(126.257 - 150.679)/1684.028
=-0.0145

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-2774.178/1684.028
=-1.6473

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-44.226 - -77.257)/1684.028
=0.0196

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=1010.480/1515.15
=0.6669

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=827.448/1684.028
=0.4914

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

FelCor Lodging Trust has a Altman Z-Score of -1.37 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


FelCor Lodging Trust  (NYSE:FCH) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


FelCor Lodging Trust Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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FelCor Lodging Trust (FelCor Lodging Trust) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
FelCor Lodging Trust Inc. is a U.S.-based real estate investment trust that invests in upper-upscale, upscale, upper-midscale and independent hotel resort markets located in the U.S. and Canada. Through its subsidiary, FelCor Lodging Limited Partnership, or FelCor LP, the company holds ownership interests in the hotels in its portfolio. The firm operates through a single segment because of the similar economic characteristics of its hotels. The majority of the company's revenue is derived from its California properties. The firm's revenue streams include Room, Food and beverage, and Other operating departments revenue. Room comprises the majority of total revenue. FelCor's hotels operate under major brands, including Hilton, Marriott, Renaissance, Sheraton, Westin, and Holiday Inn.
Executives
Steven R Goldman director, officer: CEO 777 WESTCHESTER AVENUE, C/O STARWOOD HOTELS & RESORTS WORLDWIDE, WHITEPLAIN NY 10604
Patricia L Gibson director 545 E JOHN CARPENTER FREEWAY, SUITE 1300, IRVING TX 75062
Michael C. Hughes officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer 545 E. JOHN CARPENTER FWY., SUITE 1300, IRVING TX 75062
Christopher J Hartung director 545 E. JOHN CARPENTER FWY., SUITE 1300, IRVING TX 75062
Glenn A Carlin director 545 E. JOHN CARPENTER FWY., SUITE 1300, IRVING TX 75062
Mark D Rozells director 545 E. JOHN CARPENTER FWY., SUITE 1300, IRVING TX 75062
Thomas C Hendrick officer: EVP, Chief Investment Officer 18716 WAINSBOROUGH LANE, DALLAS TX 75287
Troy A Pentecost officer: President, COO 545 EAST JOHN CARPENTER FREEWAY, SUITE 1300, IRVING TX 75062
Dana Hamilton director C/O ARCHSTONE-SMITH TRUST, 9200 E. PANORAMA CIRCLE, SUITE 400, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Robert F Cotter director C/O FELCOR LODGING TRUST INCORPORATED, 545 E. JOHN CARPENTER FREEWAY, #1300, IRVING TX 75062
Lutz Robert H Jr director
Corcoran Thomas J Jr director, officer: Chairman 545 E JOHN CARPENTER, STE 1300, IRVING TX 75062
Jeffrey D Symes officer: SVP, Chief Accounting Officer 545 E. JOHN CARPENTER FWY., SUITE 1300, IRVING TX 75062
Ledsinger Charles A Jr director 545 E JOHN CARPENTER FRWY #1300, IRVING TX 75062
Jonathan H Yellen officer: EVP, GC & Secretary COMMONWEALTH HALL AT OLD PARKLAND, 3899 MAPLE AVENUE, SUITE 410, DALLAS TX 75219

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