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Good Times Restaurants (Good Times Restaurants) Altman Z-Score : 1.45 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Good Times Restaurants Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.44 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Good Times Restaurants has a Altman Z-Score of 1.45, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Good Times Restaurants's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

GTIM' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -0.3   Med: 2.01   Max: 10.7
Current: 1.44

During the past 13 years, Good Times Restaurants's highest Altman Z-Score was 10.70. The lowest was -0.30. And the median was 2.01.


Good Times Restaurants Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Good Times Restaurants's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Good Times Restaurants Altman Z-Score Chart

Good Times Restaurants Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.25 0.15 2.16 1.33 1.50

Good Times Restaurants Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.31 1.49 1.57 1.50 1.42

Competitive Comparison of Good Times Restaurants's Altman Z-Score

For the Restaurants subindustry, Good Times Restaurants's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Good Times Restaurants's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Good Times Restaurants's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Good Times Restaurants's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Good Times Restaurants Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Good Times Restaurants's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.0943+1.4*-0.2196+3.3*0.0053+0.6*0.5429+1.0*1.5297
=1.45

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $90.1 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $7.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $15.5 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-19.8 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -0.406 + -0.427 + 0.426 + 0.791 = $0.4 Mil.
Interest Expense was -0.032 + -0.022 + -0.018 + -0.026 = $-0.1 Mil.
Revenue was 33.132 + 34.323 + 35.62 + 34.785 = $137.9 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $31.5 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $58.0 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(6.978 - 15.478)/90.121
=-0.0943

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-19.791/90.121
=-0.2196

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(0.384 - -0.098)/90.121
=0.0053

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=31.510/58.039
=0.5429

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=137.86/90.121
=1.5297

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Good Times Restaurants has a Altman Z-Score of 1.45 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Good Times Restaurants  (NAS:GTIM) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Good Times Restaurants Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Good Times Restaurants (Good Times Restaurants) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
651 Corporate Circle, No. 200, Golden, CO, USA, 80401
Good Times Restaurants Inc is engaged in developing, owning, operating, and franchising hamburger-oriented drive-through restaurants. It operates through two segments: Good Times Burgers and Frozen Custard restaurants which operate in the quick-service drive-through dining industry; and Bad Daddy's Burger Bar restaurants which operate in the full-service upscale casual dining industry. The company generates maximum revenue from the Bad Daddy's Burger Bar restaurants segment. Its menu categories include burgers; chicken; kids; breakfast; frozen custard; slides and drinks.
Executives
Donald L Stack officer: SVP of Operations 651 CORPORATE CIRCLE, SUITE 200, GOLDEN CO 80401
Ryan M Zink officer: Chief Financial Officer 141 UNION BOULEVARD #400, LAKEWOOD CO 80228
Jennifer C Stetson director 3753 EL SERENO AVENUE, ALTADENTA CA 91001
Matthew Karnes officer: Sr Vice President of Finance 651 CORPORATE CIRCLE, SUITE 200, GOLDEN CO 80401
Margaret E Regalia officer: Vice President of Finance 651 CORPORATE CIRCLE, SUITE 200, GOLDEN CO 80401
Scott Lefever officer: VICE PRESIDENT 601 CORPORATE CIRCLE, GOLDEN CO 80401
Charles E Jobson 10 percent owner
Robert J Stetson director 14901 QUORUM DRIVE, DALLAS TX 75254
Susan M Knutson officer: Controller 601 CORPORATE CIRCLE, GOLDEN CO 80401
Jason Maceda director C/O DUNKIN' BRANDS, INC., 130 ROYALL STREET, CANTON MA 02021
Geoffrey R Bailey director 601 CORPORATE CIRCLE, GOLDEN CO 80401
Boyd E Hoback officer: President and CEO 601 CORPORATE CIRCLE, GOLDEN CO 80401
Alan A Teran director 2126 KNOLLWOOD DR, BOULDER CO 80302
Eric W Reinhard director 601 CORPORATE CIRCLE, GOLDEN CO 80401
Delta Partners Llc 10 percent owner 265 FRANKLIN STREET, SUITE 903, BOSTON MA 02110