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Independence Contract Drilling (Independence Contract Drilling) Altman Z-Score : -0.96 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Independence Contract Drilling Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of -0.96 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Independence Contract Drilling has a Altman Z-Score of -0.96, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Independence Contract Drilling's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ICD' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -1.28   Med: 0.32   Max: 3.13
Current: -0.96

During the past 12 years, Independence Contract Drilling's highest Altman Z-Score was 3.13. The lowest was -1.28. And the median was 0.32.


Independence Contract Drilling Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Independence Contract Drilling's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Independence Contract Drilling Altman Z-Score Chart

Independence Contract Drilling Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.10 -1.28 -1.16 -1.06 -0.94

Independence Contract Drilling Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.06 -0.47 -0.51 -0.57 -0.94

Competitive Comparison of Independence Contract Drilling's Altman Z-Score

For the Oil & Gas Drilling subindustry, Independence Contract Drilling's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Independence Contract Drilling's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Independence Contract Drilling's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Independence Contract Drilling's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Independence Contract Drilling Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Independence Contract Drilling's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0076+1.4*-1.1067+3.3*-0.0094+0.6*0.139+1.0*0.5323
=-0.96

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $394.7 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $43.6 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $40.6 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-436.8 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -26.882 + -8.442 + -4.358 + 0.01 = $-39.7 Mil.
Interest Expense was -9.763 + -9.222 + -8.251 + -8.719 = $-36.0 Mil.
Revenue was 45.83 + 44.164 + 56.356 + 63.756 = $210.1 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $29.6 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $213.1 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(43.576 - 40.587)/394.677
=0.0076

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-436.794/394.677
=-1.1067

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-39.672 - -35.955)/394.677
=-0.0094

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=29.618/213.098
=0.139

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=210.106/394.677
=0.5323

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Independence Contract Drilling has a Altman Z-Score of -0.96 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Independence Contract Drilling  (NYSE:ICD) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Independence Contract Drilling Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Independence Contract Drilling (Independence Contract Drilling) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
20475 State Highway 249, Suite 300, Houston, TX, USA, 77070
Independence Contract Drilling Inc is engaged in providing land-based contract drilling services for oil and natural gas producers. The company constructs its own and operates a premium land rig fleet. It develops and assembles its ShaleDriller series rig which is used for the development of oil and gas properties. The company's customers for contract drilling services in the United States include oil and natural gas companies, independent oil and natural gas companies, as well as various small to mid-sized publicly traded and privately held oil and gas companies.
Executives
Brian Berman director 20475 STATE HIGHWAY 249, SUITE 300, HOUSTON TX 77070
Msd Capital L P 10 percent owner 1 VANDERBILT AVENUE, 26TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017-5407
Msd Credit Opportunity Master Fund, L.p. director, 10 percent owner ONE VANDERBILT AVENUE, 26TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Msd Pcof Partners Lxxiii, Llc director, 10 percent owner ONE VANDERBILT AVENUE, 26TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Msd Private Credit Opportunity (non-eci) Fund, Llc director, 10 percent owner ONE VANDERBILT AVENUE, 26TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Michael S Dell 10 percent owner C/O DELL INC., ONE DELL WAY, ROUND ROCK TX 78682-2244
Msd Energy Investments, L.p. 10 percent owner ONE VANDERBILT AVENUE, 26TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Msd Partners, L.p. director, 10 percent owner ONE VANDERBILT AVENUE, 26TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
William Monroe 10 percent owner C/O HIGIER ALLEN & LAUTIN, P.C., 2711 N. HASKELL AVE., SUITE 2400, DALLAS TX 75204
James Minmier director 777 N.W. 63RD ST., OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73116
Daniel F Mcnease director 2800 POST OAK BLVD, STE 5450, HOUSTON TX 77056-6127
Barrett Robert J. Iv director 20475 STATE HIGHWAY 249, SUITE 300, HOUSTON TX 77070
Vincent J Cebula director 1301 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 34 TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Christopher Gleysteen director ONE VANDERBILT AVENUE, 26TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Scott A. Keller officer: SVP - SALES AND MARKETING 20475 SH 249, SUITE 300, HOUSTON TX 77070

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