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Leaf Group (Leaf Group) Altman Z-Score : 0.07 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Leaf Group Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 0.07 is in distress zone. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

Leaf Group has a Altman Z-Score of 0.07, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Leaf Group's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

LEAF' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -7.14   Med: -0.28   Max: 3.83
Current: 0.07

During the past 13 years, Leaf Group's highest Altman Z-Score was 3.83. The lowest was -7.14. And the median was -0.28.


Leaf Group Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Leaf Group's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Leaf Group Altman Z-Score Chart

Leaf Group Annual Data
Trend Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.28 -1.53 -1.86 -5.04 -1.66

Leaf Group Quarterly Data
Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -7.13 -4.78 -3.49 -1.66 -0.89

Competitive Comparison of Leaf Group's Altman Z-Score

For the Internet Content & Information subindustry, Leaf Group's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Leaf Group's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Interactive Media Industry

For the Interactive Media industry and Communication Services sector, Leaf Group's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Leaf Group's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Leaf Group Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Leaf Group's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.2201+1.4*-3.9615+3.3*-0.0318+0.6*6.0141+1.0*1.8532
=0.07

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2021:
Total Assets was $124.7 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $69.8 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $42.4 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-494.0 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -6.253 + -2.626 + 3.699 + 0.813 = $-4.4 Mil.
Interest Expense was -0.125 + -0.079 + -0.103 + -0.1 = $-0.4 Mil.
Revenue was 51.877 + 64.973 + 63.255 + 50.968 = $231.1 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $305.9 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $50.9 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(69.807 - 42.368)/124.689
=0.2201

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-493.954/124.689
=-3.9615

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-4.367 - -0.407)/124.689
=-0.0318

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=305.912/50.866
=6.0141

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=231.073/124.689
=1.8532

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Leaf Group has a Altman Z-Score of 0.07 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Leaf Group  (NYSE:LEAF) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Leaf Group Altman Z-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Leaf Group's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Leaf Group (Leaf Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1655 26th Street, Santa Monica, CA, USA, 90404
Leaf Group Ltd is a diversified consumer internet company that builds enduring, creator-driven brands that reach passionate audiences in large and growing lifestyle categories, including fitness and wellness and home, art and design. The company operates in three segments: Society6 Group, Saatchi Art Group, and Media Group. Society6 Group is made-to-order marketplace business and includes Society6.com and its wholesale channel. Saatchi Art Group which includes SaatchiArt.com and its complementary art fair event brand, The Other Art Fair which is online art gallery with a focus on emerging artists. Its Media Group segment consists of a diverse portfolio of media properties that educate and inform consumers on a broad range of topics.
Executives
Adam F. Wergeles officer: EVP, Gen Counsel & Secretary C/O REACHLOCAL, INC. 21700 OXNARD STREET, SUITE 1600 WOODLAND HILLS CA 91367
Sean P Moriarty director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O LEAF GROUP LTD., 1655 26TH STREET, SANTA MONICA CA 90404
Brian Gephart officer: Chief Financial Officer 1655 26TH STREET, SANTA MONICA CA 90404
Spectrum Equity Investors V L P 10 percent owner ONE INTERNATIONAL PLACE 29TH FL BOSTON MA 02110
Osmium Capital Ii, Lp other: May be member of 10% group 300 DRAKES LANDING ROAD, SUITE 172, GREENBRAE CA 94904
John Hartnett Lewis other: May be member of 10% group 388 MARKET STREET, SUITE 920, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Osmium Spartan L P other: May be member of 10% group 300 DRAKES LANDING ROAD, SUITE 172, GREENBRAE CA 94904
Osmium Partners, Llc other: May be member of 10% group 300 DRAKES LANDING ROAD, SUITE 172, GREENBRAE CA 94904
Osmium Capital Lp other: May be member of 10% group 300 DRAKES LANDING ROAD, SUITE 172, GREENBRAE CA 94904
Sea V Management Llc 10 percent owner 333 MIDDLEFIELD ROAD SUITE 200 MENLO PARK CA 94025
Spectrum Equity Associates V Lp 10 percent owner 333 MIDDLEFIELD ROAD SUITE 200 MENLO PARK CA 94025
Spectrum V Investment Managers Fund Lp 10 percent owner 333 MIDDLEFIELD ROAD SUITE 200 MENLO PARK CA 94025
Osmium Diamond, Lp other: May be member of 10% group C/O OSMIUM PARTNERS, LLC, 300 DRAKES LANDING ROAD, SUITE 172, GREENBRAE CA 94904
Brian Pike officer: CTO & COO C/O LEAF GROUP LTD. 1655 26TH STREET SANTA MONICA CA 90404
Boyle Capital Management, L.l.c. other: May be member of 10% group 1230 OFFICE PLAZA DRIVE WEST DES MOINES IA 50266-2300