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Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Co (Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Co) Altman Z-Score : -1.16 (As of May. 12, 2024)


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What is Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Co Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Co has a Altman Z-Score of -1.16, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Co's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:


Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Co Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Co's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Co Altman Z-Score Chart

Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Co Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.06 -1.10 -1.53 -3.04 -1.39

Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Co Quarterly Data
Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.04 -2.61 -2.20 -1.47 -1.39

Competitive Comparison of Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Co's Altman Z-Score

For the Education & Training Services subindustry, Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Co's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Co's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Education Industry

For the Education industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Co's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Co's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Co Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Co's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.1081+1.4*-2.0475+3.3*0.0201+0.6*1.6336+1.0*0.5322
=-1.16

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2021:
Total Assets was $1,974 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $759 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $546 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-4,042 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -39.852 + 89.167 + 2.149 + -46.718 = $5 Mil.
Interest Expense was -8.21 + -8.239 + -9.985 + -8.564 = $-35 Mil.
Revenue was 178.805 + 417.13 + 308.672 + 146.195 = $1,051 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $2,685 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $1,644 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(759.434 - 546.011)/1974.28
=0.1081

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-4042.252/1974.28
=-2.0475

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(4.746 - -34.998)/1974.28
=0.0201

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=2685.340/1643.856
=1.6336

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=1050.802/1974.28
=0.5322

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Co has a Altman Z-Score of -1.16 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Co  (NAS:HMHC) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Co Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Co (Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
125 High Street, Boston, MA, USA, 02110
Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Co is a learning company committed to delivering integrated solutions that engage learners, empower educators and improve student outcomes. The company operates in two segments, Education and HMH Books & Media. The Education segment provides educational products, technology platforms, and services, including print and digital content in the form of textbooks, digital courseware, instructional aids, educational assessment and intervention solutions for students. The HMH Books & Media segment develops, markets and sells consumer books in print and digital formats as well as licenses book rights & electronic businesses. This segment distributes products through retail stores comprising physical and online & wholesalers.
Executives
Michael Dolan officer: See remarks. C/O HOUGHTON MIFFLIN HARCOURT CO. 222 BERKELEY STREET BOSTON MA 02116
Michael Edmund Evans officer: EVP & Chief Revenue Officer C/O HOUGHTON MIFFLIN HARCOURT CO. 125 HIGH STREET BOSTON MA 02110
Matthew M. Fields officer: See remarks C/O HMH; 125 HIGH STREET BOSTON MA 02110
Alejandro Reyes officer: See remarks C/O HMH; 125 HIGH STREET BOSTON MA 02110
James P. Oneill officer: See remarks C/O HMH; 125 HIGH STREET BOSTON MA 02110
Amy Dunkin officer: See Remarks C/O HMH; 125 HIGH STREET BOSTON MA 02110
Abbott Joseph Patrick Jr. officer: See Remarks. C/O HMH; 222 BERKELEY STREET BOSTON MA 02116
William Frederick Bayers officer: See remarks. C/O HMH; 222 BERKELY STREET BOSTON MA 02116
Lynch John J Jr officer: See remarks C/O HMH; 125 HIGH STREET BOSTON MA 02110
Jean-claude Brizard director C/O HOUGHTON MIFFLIN HARCOURT COMPANY 125 HIGH STREET BOSTON MA 02110
Anchorage Capital Group, L.l.c. 10 percent owner 610 BROADWAY, 6TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10012
Anchorage Capital Master Offshore, Ltd 10 percent owner 610 BROADWAY, 6TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10012
Kevin Michael Ulrich 10 percent owner 650 MADISON AVENUE, 26TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Anchorage Advisors Management, Llc 10 percent owner 610 BROADWAY, 6TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10012
Daniel M. Allen director C/O HMH; 125 HIGH STREET BOSTON MA 02110

Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Co (Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Co) Headlines

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