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Nogin (NOGNQ) Altman Z-Score : -6.66 (As of May. 16, 2024)


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What is Nogin Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of -6.66 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Nogin has a Altman Z-Score of -6.66, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Nogin's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NOGNQ' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -6.66   Med: -3.87   Max: -1.91
Current: -6.66

During the past 4 years, Nogin's highest Altman Z-Score was -1.91. The lowest was -6.66. And the median was -3.87.


Nogin Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Nogin's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Nogin Altman Z-Score Chart

Nogin Annual Data
Trend Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Altman Z-Score
- - - -2.44

Nogin Quarterly Data
Dec19 Dec20 Mar21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.91 -2.44 -3.87 -4.14 -6.63

Competitive Comparison of Nogin's Altman Z-Score

For the Software - Application subindustry, Nogin's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nogin's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Nogin's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nogin's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Nogin Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Nogin's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-2.025+1.4*-2.5022+3.3*-0.6577+0.6*0.0032+1.0*1.4444
=-6.66

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2023:
Total Assets was $47.26 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $15.53 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $111.24 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-118.26 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -14.057 + -11.793 + -9.927 + -3.828 = $-39.61 Mil.
Interest Expense was -2.087 + -2.777 + -2.014 + -1.643 = $-8.52 Mil.
Revenue was 10.903 + 12.742 + 16.675 + 27.949 = $68.27 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $0.45 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $142.82 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(15.528 - 111.237)/47.263
=-2.025

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-118.262/47.263
=-2.5022

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-39.605 - -8.521)/47.263
=-0.6577

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=0.452/142.815
=0.0032

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=68.269/47.263
=1.4444

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Nogin has a Altman Z-Score of -6.66 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Nogin  (OTCPK:NOGNQ) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Nogin Altman Z-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Nogin's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Nogin (NOGNQ) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1775 Flight Way, Suite 400, Tustin, CA, USA, 92782
Nogin Inc is a software company that delivers commerce as a service to brands in the fashion, CPG, beauty, health, and wellness industries. The company's Intelligent Commerce platform provides a full suite of capabilities including storefront, order management, catalog maintenance, fulfillment, returns management, customer data analytics, and marketing optimization tailored for online brands and all consolidated within a single software solution. its clients utilize Nogin's technology to help accelerate the growth of their gross merchandise value, improve their customer engagement, and reduce costs. The company derives its revenue from CaaS service revenue, product revenue, shipping revenue, Marketing, and other revenue.
Executives
Arthur Stark director
Stephen Choi 10 percent owner C/O NOGIN, INC., 1775 FLIGHT WAY, SUITE 400, TUSTIN CA 92782
Shahriyar Rahmati officer: Chief Financial Officer 1775 FLIGHT WAY, SUITE 400, TUSTIN CA 92782
Jonathan Huberman director, officer: Co-CEO & President C/O IOMEGA CORPORATION, 10955 VISTA SORRENTO PARKWAY, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Haeren Geoffrey Van director, officer: Chief Technology Officer 1775 FLIGHT WAY, SUITE 400, TUSTIN CA 92782
Wilhelmina Fader director 1775 FLIGHT WAY, SUITE 400, TUSTIN CA 92782
Hussain Baig director 1775 FLIGHT WAY, SUITE 400, TUSTIN CA 92782
Andrew Pancer director C/O NOGIN, INC., 1775 FLIGHT WAY, SUITE 400, TUSTIN CA 92782
Jan-christopher Nugent director, officer: Co-Chief Executive Officer 1775 FLIGHT WAY, SUITE 400, TUSTIN CA 92782
Deborah Weinswig director C/O XCEL BRANDS, INC., 1333 BROADWAY, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10018
Eileen Moore director 1775 FLIGHT WAY, SUITE 400, TUSTIN CA 92782
Andrew K Nikou director 9261 WARBLER WAY, LOS ANGELES CA 90069
Michael Nikzad director 9261 WARBLER WAY, LOS ANGELES CA 90069
Software Acquisition Holdings Iii Llc 10 percent owner 1980 FESTIVAL PLAZA DRIVE, SUITE 300, LAS VEGAS NV 89135
B. Riley Financial, Inc. 10 percent owner 11100 SANTA MONICA BLVD, SUITE 800, LOS ANGELES CA 90025