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Covanta Holding (Covanta Holding) Altman Z-Score : 0.94 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Covanta Holding Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Covanta Holding has a Altman Z-Score of 0.94, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Covanta Holding's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:


Covanta Holding Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Covanta Holding's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Covanta Holding Altman Z-Score Chart

Covanta Holding Annual Data
Trend Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.77 0.66 0.92 0.82 0.70

Covanta Holding Quarterly Data
Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.59 0.70 0.74 0.82 0.93

Competitive Comparison of Covanta Holding's Altman Z-Score

For the Waste Management subindustry, Covanta Holding's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Covanta Holding's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Waste Management Industry

For the Waste Management industry and Industrials sector, Covanta Holding's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Covanta Holding's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Covanta Holding Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Covanta Holding's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.0136+1.4*-0.1595+3.3*0.04+0.6*0.7984+1.0*0.5653
=0.94

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2021:
Total Assets was $3,598 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $399 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $448 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-574 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 42 + -7 + -17 + -1 = $17 Mil.
Interest Expense was -31 + -32 + -31 + -33 = $-127 Mil.
Revenue was 539 + 506 + 498 + 491 = $2,034 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $2,695 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $3,375 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(399 - 448)/3598
=-0.0136

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-574/3598
=-0.1595

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(17 - -127)/3598
=0.04

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=2694.766/3375
=0.7984

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=2034/3598
=0.5653

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Covanta Holding has a Altman Z-Score of 0.94 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Covanta Holding  (NYSE:CVA) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Covanta Holding Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Covanta Holding (Covanta Holding) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
445 South Street, Morristown, NJ, USA, 07960
Covanta Holding Corp is a holding company engaged in the businesses of waste and energy services. It is engaged in the conversion of waste to energy, as well as other waste disposal and renewable energy production businesses. The firm generates its income in the form of waste and service revenue, energy revenue, recycled metals revenue, and other operating income. Geographically, the company operates in the United States.
Executives
Paul E. Stauder officer: President, Covanta Envir. Sol. 445 SOUTH STREET MORRISTOWN NJ 07960
Thomas L Kenyon officer: Exec. VP, Gen'l Counsel & Sec. 445 SOUTH STREET MORRISTOWN NJ 07960
Ronald J Broglio director 1417 HIGH ROAD VANDIVER AL 35176
Schantz Joseph J Ii officer: Chief Accounting Officer 445 SOUTH STREET MORRISTOWN NJ 07960
Robert S Silberman director C/O STRAYER EDUCATION INC, 2303 DULLES STATION BOULEVARD, HERNDON VA 20171
Linda J. Fisher director WILMINGTION OFFICE BUILDINGS 1007 MARKET STREET, D-6074 WILMINGTON DE 19898
De Castro Michael Joseph officer: EVP Supply Chain 445 SOUTH STREET MORRISTOWN NJ 07960
Timothy Simpson officer: Exec. VP, Gen'l Counsel & Sec. 40 LANE ROAD FAIRFIELD NJ 07004
Matthew Mulcahy officer: SVP & Head of Corp Development 445 SOUTH STREET MORRISTOWN NJ 07960
Owen Michaelson director 3 BRADFIELD WAY WAVERLEY ROTHERHAM X0 S60 5WE
Virginia D. Angilello officer: SVP & CHRO 445 SOUTH STREET COVANTA MORRISTOWN NJ 07960
Stephen J Jones officer: President and CEO 7201 HAMILTON BOULEVARD, ALLENTOWN PA 18195-1501
Danielle Pletka director 1789 MASSACHUSETTS AVENUE, NW WASHINGTON, DC DC 20036
Michael W Ranger director C/O TXU CORP, 1601 BRYAN ST, DALLAS TX 75201
Manpreet Grewal officer: VP & Chief Accounting Officer 600 GRANT STREET, PITTSBURGH PA 15219

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