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Moody's Altman Z-Score

: 7.00 (As of Today)
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Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 7 is strong.

Moody's has a Altman Z-Score of 7.00, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Moody's's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NYSE:MCO' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.31   Med: 6.3   Max: 36.37
Current: 7

1.31
36.37

During the past 13 years, Moody's's highest Altman Z-Score was 36.37. The lowest was 1.31. And the median was 6.30.


Moody's Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Moody's's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Moody's Annual Data
Trend Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.77 4.49 4.36 5.48 5.61

Moody's Quarterly Data
Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.75 5.99 5.61 5.99 6.79

Competitive Comparison

For the Financial Data & Stock Exchanges subindustry, Moody's's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Moody's Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Moody's's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Moody's's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Moody's Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Moody's's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.2138+1.4*0.9635+3.3*0.2248+0.6*6.9863+1.0*0.462
=7.00

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jun. 2021:
Total Assets was $12,552 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $4,734 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,050 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $12,094 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 758 + 862 + 400 + 599 = $2,619 Mil.
Interest Expense was -49 + -45 + -54 + -55 = $-203 Mil.
Revenue was 1553 + 1600 + 1290 + 1356 = $5,799 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $71,065 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $10,172 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(4734 - 2050)/12552
=0.2138

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=12094/12552
=0.9635

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(2619 - -203)/12552
=0.2248

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=71065.092/10172
=6.9863

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=5799/12552
=0.462

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Moody's has a Altman Z-Score of 7.00 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Moody's  (NYSE:MCO) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Moody's Altman Z-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Moody's's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Moody's Business Description

Moody's logo
Industry
Financial Services » Capital Markets NAICS : 523210 SIC : 7323
Address
7 World Trade Center at 250 Greenwich Street, New York, NY, USA, 10007
Moody's (along with S&P Ratings) is a leading provider of credit ratings on fixed income securities. Moody's ratings segment, known as Moody's Investors Service or MIS, includes corporates, structured finance, financial institutions, and public finance ratings. MIS represents a majority of the firm's revenue and profits. Moody's other segment is Moody's Analytics and consists of Research, Data, and Analytics or RD&A and Enterprise Risk Solutions or ERS. RD&A's products include credit research, quantitative credit scores, economic research, business intelligence, know your customer (KYC) tools, commercial real estate data and analytical tools, and training services. ERS includes risk management software solutions to financial institutions.
Executives
Bermudez Jorge A. director CORPORATE LAW DEPT., CITIGROUP INC. 425 PARK AVENUE NEW YORK NY 10043
Esperdy Therese director 7 WORLD TRADE CENTER, 250 GREENWICH ST NEW YORK NY 10007
Mckinnell Henry A director 7 WORLD TRADE CENTER 250 GREENWICH STREET NEW YORK NY 10007
Seidman Leslie director 7 WORLD TRADE CENTER 250 GREENWICH STREET NEW YORK NY 10007
Van Saun Bruce director CITIZENS FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. 600 WASHINGTON BLVD STAMFORD CT 06901
Forlenza Vincent A director C/O BECTON DICKERSON & CO 1 BECTON DR FRANKLIN LAKES NJ 07417
Anderson Basil director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: ANDERSON BASIL a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Mcdaniel Raymond W director, officer: President and CEO 7 WORLD TRADE CENTER 250 GREENWICH STREET NEW YORK NY 10007
Goggins John J officer: EVP and General Counsel 7 WORLD TRADE CENTER 250 GREENWICH STREET NEW YORK NY 10007
Kaye Mark officer: SVP & Chief Financial Officer 7 WORLD TRADE CENTER, 250 GREENWICH ST NEW YORK NY 10007
Fauber Robert officer: Chief Operating Officer 7 WORLD TRADE CENTER 250 GREENWICH STREET NEW YORK NY 10007
Sullivan Caroline officer: SVP-Corporate Controller 7 WORLD TRADE CENTER 250 GREENWICH STREET NEW YORK NY 10007
Hughes Melanie officer: SVP & Chief HR Officer 7 WORLD TRADE CENTER 250 GREENWICH STREET NEW YORK NY 10007
Hill Kathryn director 7 WORLD TRADE CENTER 250 GREENWICH STREET NEW YORK NY 10007
Zalm Gerrit director 7 WORLD TRADE CENTER, 250 GREENWICH ST NEW YORK NY 10007

Moody's Headlines

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