OLPX (Olaplex Holdings) Altman Z-Score: 2.56 (As of Jun. 27, 2026) — Near Median


OLPX Olaplex Holdings Inc OLPX
75 GF Score
Price $2.04
GF Value $1.62
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is Olaplex Holdings Altman Z-Score?

Olaplex Holdings OLPX +0.49% 75 Altman Z-Score is 2.56 as of Jun. 27, 2026, which is 4% above its 10-year median of 2.45. GuruFocus rates OLPX with a GF Score™ of 75/100 and a GF Value™ of $1.62 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,117 Retail - Cyclical companies, Olaplex Holdings ranks worse than 53.27% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.56 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Olaplex Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of 2.56, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Olaplex Holdings is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Olaplex Holdings's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

OLPX' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.81   Med: 2.45   Max: 12.44
Current: 2.56

During the past 7 years, Olaplex Holdings's highest Altman Z-Score was 12.44. The lowest was 1.81. And the median was 2.45.


Olaplex Holdings  (NAS:OLPX) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Olaplex Holdings Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Olaplex Holdings Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Olaplex Holdings's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Olaplex Holdings Altman Z-Score Chart

Olaplex Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial 12.44 4.02 2.45 2.03 2.03

Olaplex Holdings Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.81 2.04 1.99 2.03 2.56

OLPX vs SVV, WINA, EYE: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Olaplex Holdings's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Olaplex Holdings Altman Z-Score vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Olaplex Holdings's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Olaplex Holdings's Altman Z-Score falls into.


OLPX
75GF Score
Olaplex Holdings Inc OLPX
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Olaplex Holdings Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Olaplex Holdings's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.2569+1.4*0.3639+3.3*0.0123+0.6*2.355+1.0*0.2913
=2.56

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026:
Total Assets was $1,460.2 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $446.3 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $71.1 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $531.4 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -9.683 + -6.693 + 8.7 + -9.065 = $-16.7 Mil.
Interest Expense was -7.132 + -7.551 + -7.691 + -12.375 = $-34.7 Mil.
Revenue was 99.369 + 105.119 + 114.579 + 106.284 = $425.4 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $1,371.1 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $582.2 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(446.261 - 71.148)/1460.194
=0.2569

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=531.426/1460.194
=0.3639

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-16.741 - -34.749)/1460.194
=0.0123

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=1371.119/582.208
=2.355

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=425.351/1460.194
=0.2913

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Olaplex Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of 2.56 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 2.56 mean?
Olaplex Holdings (OLPX) has a Altman Z-Score of 2.56 as of Jun. 27, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Olaplex Holdings and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 2.45. Over the past decade, Olaplex Holdings' Altman Z-Score has ranged from 1.81 to 12.44. According to the industry distribution chart, Olaplex Holdings ranks #595 out of 1117 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, placing it in the top 53.3%.
Is Olaplex Holdings' Altman Z-Score too high?
Olaplex Holdings' current Altman Z-Score of 2.56 is near median its 10-year median of 2.45. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.81 to a high of 12.44. The Retail - Cyclical industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.73. Olaplex Holdings' value of 2.56 is 6.2% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Olaplex Holdings ranks #595 out of 1117 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Olaplex Holdings has a GF Score™ of 75/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Olaplex Holdings' Altman Z-Score compare to SVV and WINA?
According to the Retail - Cyclical industry distribution chart, Olaplex Holdings ranks #595 out of 1117 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Olaplex Holdings in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.73. Olaplex Holdings' value of 2.56 is 6.2% below this benchmark. Historically, Olaplex Holdings' own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 1.81 to 12.44 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 2.45 vs. the industry median of 2.73, Olaplex Holdings has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Retail - Cyclical company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Retail - Cyclical companies is 2.73, based on 1,117 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Olaplex Holdings's current Altman Z-Score of 2.56 is 6.2% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Olaplex Holdings and its competitors. For the Retail - Cyclical industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.73 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Olaplex Holdings's current Altman Z-Score is 2.56, which is near median its own 10-year median of 2.45. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Olaplex Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Olaplex Holdings (OLPX) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $1.62, compared to a current price of $2.04 — trading 25.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 2.56, which is near median its 10-year median of 2.45 and 6.2% below the Retail - Cyclical industry median of 2.73. Olaplex Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Olaplex Holdings (OLPX), the current Altman Z-Score is 2.56 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Olaplex Holdings (OLPX) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Olaplex Holdings stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $2.04 is trading 25.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of $1.62. GuruFocus considers Olaplex Holdings to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for OLPX:

  • Altman Z-Score: 2.56 (near median its 10-year median of 2.45)
  • GF Value™: $1.62 vs. price of $2.04 (25.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 75/100 with 8 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 6.2% below the Retail - Cyclical median (#595 of 1117)

No single metric tells the full story. See the OLPX stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Olaplex Holdings Business Description

Address 432 Park Avenue South, Third Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10016
Olaplex Holdings Inc is a science-enabled, technology-driven beauty company. It offers science-backed solutions that improve hair health. It identifies the majority of consumers' relevant haircare concerns in collaboration with the community of professional hairstylists and consumers and strives to address them through its proprietary technology and innovation capabilities. It offers products through an omnichannel platform that serves professional, specialty retail, and DTC channels. The company derives its revenue through the sale of its hair care products. The company generates the majority of revenue from Professional sales channels followed by Specialty Retail and then DTC. Geographically the company generates the majority of its revenue from the International market.
75GF Score

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Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$2.04
Price
$1.62
GF Value