GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Retail - Cyclical » ASOS PLC (OTCPK:ASOMF) » Definitions » Altman Z-Score

ASOS (ASOMF) Altman Z-Score : 1.67 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2004. Start your Free Trial

What is ASOS Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.68 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

ASOS has a Altman Z-Score of 1.67, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for ASOS's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASOMF' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.68   Med: 6.49   Max: 11.49
Current: 1.68

During the past 13 years, ASOS's highest Altman Z-Score was 11.49. The lowest was 1.68. And the median was 6.49.


ASOS Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for ASOS's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

ASOS Altman Z-Score Chart

ASOS Annual Data
Trend Aug14 Aug15 Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.16 4.91 3.41 2.04 1.71

ASOS Semi-Annual Data
Aug14 Feb15 Aug15 Feb16 Aug16 Feb17 Aug17 Feb18 Aug18 Feb19 Aug19 Feb20 Aug20 Feb21 Aug21 Feb22 Aug22 Feb23 Aug23 Feb24
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 2.04 - 1.71 -

Competitive Comparison of ASOS's Altman Z-Score

For the Internet Retail subindustry, ASOS's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ASOS's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, ASOS's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ASOS's Altman Z-Score falls into.



ASOS Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

ASOS's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.1978+1.4*0.1778+3.3*-0.0927+0.6*0.2284+1.0*1.3519
=1.67

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Aug. 2023:
Total Assets was $3,336 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,569 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $909 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $593 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was $-377 Mil.
Interest Expense was $-68 Mil.
Revenue was $4,510 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $511 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $2,235 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(1568.615 - 908.767)/3336.213
=0.1978

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=593.139/3336.213
=0.1778

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-377.001 - -67.598)/3336.213
=-0.0927

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=510.550/2234.943
=0.2284

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=4510.165/3336.213
=1.3519

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

ASOS has a Altman Z-Score of 1.67 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


ASOS  (OTCPK:ASOMF) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


ASOS Altman Z-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of ASOS's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


ASOS (ASOMF) Business Description

Address
Hampstead Road, Greater London House, London, GBR, NW1 7FB
Asos is a global e-commerce player focusing on fashion and cosmetics and targeting the youth segment (20-somethings) globally. Of its revenue, 45% comes from its U.K. home market, 30% from other European Union countries, 13% from the United States, 12% from the rest of the world. The company ships to 240 countries from its three warehouses located in the U.K., continental Europe, and the United States. It offers over 85 000 products on its website from third-party brands and its own labels (Asos Design, Collusion).

ASOS (ASOMF) Headlines

From GuruFocus

Wasatch International Growth Fund Comments on ASOS

By Vera Yuan Vera Yuan 08-11-2014