Half Year 2026 Banco BPM SpA Earnings Call Transcript
Key Points
- Banco BPM SpA (BNCZF) reported a record first-half 2026 net profit of €1.06 billion, with Q2 results showing a 23% quarter-on-quarter increase in adjusted net income.
- The company raised its cumulative shareholder remuneration target from €6 billion to €7 billion over the plan horizon, including a proposed increase in interim dividend to €0.50 per share.
- Asset quality reached a historic milestone with the gross NPE ratio falling below 2% for the first time, while the net NPE ratio improved to 1.03%.
- The CET1 ratio strengthened to 14.4%, a 240 basis point increase over the last 18 months, providing a substantial buffer above the 13% target threshold.
- Revenue diversification is progressing well, with non-NII revenues now representing 52% of total revenues, driven by a 55% increase in product factory contributions over two years.
- The bank demonstrated strong commercial momentum with record new loan origination of €7.6 billion in Q2, and July lending reached €3.3 billion, indicating continued growth.
- Cost efficiency improved significantly, with the cost-income ratio dropping to 42% in Q2, the bank's best-ever result, supported by a 4% year-on-year reduction in staff costs.
- Net interest income grew 4.6% quarter-on-quarter, supported by an improved commercial spread of 3.03%, despite a challenging rate environment.
- The bank confirmed and raised its 2026 net income guidance to above €1.95 billion, which is ahead of the original strategic plan despite absorbing €100 million in external headwinds.
- The cost of risk decreased to 31 basis points, better than the business plan guidance, reflecting strong credit management and a low default rate of 0.73%.
- Banco BPM SpA (BNCZF) faces potential dilution of its stake in Anima Holding, as the 10% minority stake held by Monte dei Paschi di Siena could be affected by ongoing consolidation in the sector.
- The bank's net interest income sensitivity to interest rates remains a concern, with a potential impact of €150 million for a 100 basis point parallel shift, though the timing of repricing is uncertain.
- Traditional banking fees saw a 1.8% year-on-year decline in the first half, partly due to a reduction in ECO bonus-related income, although Q2 showed some recovery.
- The bank's liability spread improvement was partly attributed to a delay in indexed instrument costs adjusting to rate changes, which may not be sustainable in the long term.
- The potential share buyback program, while positive for shareholders, could push Credit Agricole's stake above the 30% threshold, potentially triggering regulatory obligations or a mandatory tender offer.
- The bank's guidance for the second half of the year is expected to be lower than the first half, due to seasonal factors such as August and December being slower periods for fee generation.
- The cost of risk guidance for 2026 and 2027 remains at 43 and 40 basis points respectively, which, while better than plan, still implies potential for higher credit costs if the economic environment deteriorates.
- The bank's exposure to Italian government bonds, while reduced, remains significant at 38.4% of the banking book, leaving it vulnerable to sovereign spread volatility.
- The bank's net financial result benefited from lower costs of certificates and improved trading, but these are subject to market conditions and may not be repeatable in future quarters.
- The bank's capital position was negatively impacted by the Anima acquisition without the Danish compromise, which required rebuilding 240 basis points of capital, limiting flexibility in the near term.
Good evening. This is the Coros Call Conference operator. Welcome and thank you for joining the Banco BPM Group first half 2026 results presentation. As a reminder, all participants are in listen-only mode. After the presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. Should anyone need assistance during the conference call, they may signal an operator by pressing star and zero on their telephone. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Mr. Arneris Cassi, Head of Investor Relations of Banco BTM. Please go ahead, sir.
Good afternoon. Thanks for attending the conference call of H-1 2026 results, which will be presented by our CEO, Mr. Giuseppe Castagna and our Joint General Manager, CFO, Eduardo Gineva. All the materials, so presentation, the press release are available on our website under the investor relations section.
Of course, as usual, please limit yourselves to maximum two questions each.
And now let me hand over to Mr. Castagna.
Thank you.
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