The GEO Group Inc (STU:GEG)
€ 27.16 +1.25 (+4.82%) Market Cap: 3.58 Bil Enterprise Value: 4.90 Bil PE Ratio: 14.96 PB Ratio: 2.77 GF Score: 54/100

Q2 2026 The GEO Group, Inc. Earnings Call Transcript

Aug 06, 2026 / 05:00PM GMT
Release Date Price: €26.2 (-2.93%)

Key Points

Positve
  • Revenues increased 15% year-over-year, with net income up 63% and adjusted EBITDA up 20% in Q2 2026.
  • New ICE contracts for Bighorn and Rivers facilities add ~$165 million in annual revenues, with total ICE beds under contract rising to ~29,500.
  • ISAP contract shows favorable mix shift to higher-priced ankle monitors, with GPS participants up from 17,000 to 54,000 since early 2025.
  • Potential sale of turnkey facilities to ICE could unlock significant liquidity, with proceeds earmarked for debt reduction and share repurchases.
  • Strong capital returns: repurchased $37 million in Q2, with $323 million remaining under the $500 million buyback authorization.
Negative
  • Florida managed-only contracts (Graceville and Bay) delayed to July 1, 2027, pushing out ~$100 million in annual revenues.
  • Skip tracing contract generated zero revenue in Q2 due to the government shutdown, with ramp-up uncertain.
  • CapEx remains elevated at $135-$145 million for 2026, though expected to decline below $100 million in 2027.
  • ISAP overall participation counts remain flat, with growth dependent on future policy shifts that may not materialize.
  • No definitive agreements for facility sales to ICE, with timing and completion uncertain, posing execution risk.
Operator

Good day, and welcome to the GEO Group Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. (Operator Instructions) Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Pablo Paez, Executive Vice President of Corporate Relations. Please go ahead.

Pablo E. Paez
The GEO Group, Inc. - Executive Vice President, Corporate Relations

Thank you, operator. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us for today's discussion of the GEO Group's Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Results. With us today are George Zoley, Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and Founder; and Shayn March, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer.

This afternoon, we will discuss our second quarter results as well as our outlook, and we will conclude the call with a question-and-answer session. This conference call is also being webcast live or on investor website at investors.geogroup.com. Today, we will discuss non-GAAP basis information.

A reconciliation from non-GAAP basis information to GAAP basis results is included in the press

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