Novartis AG’s share price is CHF122. Its GF Value is CHF103.38. Based on the relationship between the current stock price and the GF Value, GuruFocus believes Novartis AG stock is .
The GF Value represents the current intrinsic value of a stock derived from our proprietary algorithm. It is based primarily on the historical multiples of where the stocks have been traded and the future growth of the business, adjusted for the past returns and growth. The GF Value has been verified by backtesting and daily updated model portfolios.
In addition to considering the current valuation, the growth potential of a company's value is equally important. Companies with faster growth rates tend to increase their value more quickly. Therefore, it's essential to look at the Price-to-Future GF Value ratios as well. The results are shown below:
| Price: CHF122 | GF Value | Price/GF Value | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | CHF103.38 | 1.18 | ||
| Next FY1 End | CHF104.57 | 1.17 | ||
| Next 12 Month | CHF108.2 | 1.13 | ||
| Next FY2 End | CHF110.83 | 1.10 |
GuruFocus performed a correlation analysis comparing Novartis AG's stock price with key financial metrics: revenue per share, book value per share, EPS without NRI, and operating cash flow per share.
The analysis reveals the strongest correlation between Novartis AG's stock price and Revenue per share, with a coefficient of 79%. This is followed by a 73% correlation with Operating Cash Flow per share. Novartis AG’s stock price shows no significant correlation with Earnings without NRI per share. Novartis AG’s stock price shows no significant correlation with Book Value per share.
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