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Acorn Energy (Acorn Energy) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $2.89 (As of Dec23)


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What is Acorn Energy Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Acorn Energy's earnings power value is $2.89. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -211.07

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Acorn Energy Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Acorn Energy's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Acorn Energy Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Acorn Energy Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -5.56 -2.04 -0.47 1.04 2.89

Acorn Energy Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.04 1.39 2.18 2.55 2.89

Competitive Comparison of Acorn Energy's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Scientific & Technical Instruments subindustry, Acorn Energy's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Acorn Energy's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Acorn Energy's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Acorn Energy's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Acorn Energy Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Acorn Energy's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 6.65
DDA 0.09
Operating Margin % -5.27
SGA * 25% 1.08
Tax Rate % 0.47
Maintenance Capex 0.19
Cash and Cash Equivalents 1.45
Short-Term Debt 0.12
Long-Term Debt 0.10
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 2.49

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -5.27%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $6.65 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -5.27%, Average Adjusted SGA = 1.08,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 6.65 * -5.27% +1.08 = $0.728809349 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 0.47%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $0.728809349 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 0.728809349 * ( 1 - 0.47% ) = $0.72539123315319 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 0.09 * 0.5 * 0.47% = $0.000204484 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0.72539123315319 + 0.000204484 = $0.72559571715319 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Acorn Energy's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $0.19 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Acorn Energy's current cash and cash equivalent = $1.45 Mil.
Acorn Energy's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 0.10 + 0.12 = $0.221 Mil.
Acorn Energy's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 2.49 Mil.

Acorn Energy's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 0.72559571715319 - 0.19)/ 9%+1.45-0.221 )/2.49
=2.89

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 2.8932358422578-9.00 )/2.8932358422578
= -211.07%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Acorn Energy  (OTCPK:ACFN) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Acorn Energy Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Acorn Energy's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Acorn Energy (Acorn Energy) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1000 N West Street, Suite 1200, Wilmington, DE, USA, 19801
Acorn Energy Inc is a holding company which focuses on technology-driven solutions for energy infrastructure asset management. It operates through two segments namely, the PG segment and the CP segment. PG segment provides wireless remote monitoring and control systems and services for critical assets as well as Internet of Things applications which account for majority of the revenue. CP segment is engaged in providing remote monitoring of cathodic protection systems on gas pipelines for gas utilities and pipeline companies.
Executives
Tracy Simmons Clifford officer: CFO 10 N. ADGER'S WHARF, CHARLESTON SC 29401
Jan H Loeb director, officer: President and CEO LEAP TIDE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, 10451 MILL RUN CIRCLE SUITE 400, OWINGS MILLS MD 21117
Peter Rabover director C/O ARTKO CAPITAL LLC, 1091 E BAYAUD AVE, APT W2808, DENVER CO 80209
Gary Mohr director C/O UE SYSTEMS INC., 14 HAYES STREET, ELMSFORD NY 10532
Leap Tide Capital Acorn Llc 10 percent owner 10451 MILL RUN CIRCLE, SUITE 400, OWINGS MILLS MD 21117
Walter Iv Czarnecki officer: OmniMetrix LLC President & CEO OMNIMETRIX, LLC, 4295 HAMILTON MILL ROAD, SUITE 100, BUFORD GA 30518
Michael Osterer director C/O UE SYSTEMS INC., 14 HAYES STREET, ELMSFORD NY 10532
Woolard Edgar S Jr director C/O NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE, INC., 11 WALL STREET, NEW YORK NY 10005
John A Moore officer: Chief Executive Officer 403 MARSH LANE, WILMINGTON DE 19807
Christopher E Clouser director C/O ACORN ENERGY, INC., 4 WEST ROCKLAND RD, MONTCHANIN DE 19710
Mannie L Jackson director ALFRED P SLOAN FOUNDATION, 630 FIFTH AVENUE SUITE 2550, NEW YORK NY 10111-0242
Mark A Bashforth officer: CEO and President of USSI C/O ACORN ENERGY, INC., 3903 CENTERVILLE ROAD, WILMINGTON DE 19807
Andy Sassine director 82 DEVONSHIRE STREET, BOSTON MA 02109
Mckee Robert E Iii director 14927 SANDALFOOT, HOUSTON TX 77095
Deena Redding officer: President of OmniMetrix, LLC OMNIMETRIX, LLC, 5225 BELLE WOOD COURT, BUFORD GA 30518

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