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Analogic (Analogic) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $42.78 (As of Apr18)


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What is Analogic Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Apr18, Analogic's earnings power value is $42.78. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Analogic Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Analogic's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Analogic Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Analogic Annual Data
Trend Jul08 Jul09 Jul10 Jul11 Jul12 Jul13 Jul14 Jul15 Jul16 Jul17
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 14.36 36.20 41.94 47.18 44.13

Analogic Quarterly Data
Jul13 Oct13 Jan14 Apr14 Jul14 Oct14 Jan15 Apr15 Jul15 Oct15 Jan16 Apr16 Jul16 Oct16 Jan17 Apr17 Jul17 Oct17 Jan18 Apr18
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 46.54 44.13 37.58 39.62 42.78

Competitive Comparison of Analogic's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Diagnostics & Research subindustry, Analogic's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Analogic's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Medical Diagnostics & Research Industry

For the Medical Diagnostics & Research industry and Healthcare sector, Analogic's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Analogic's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Analogic Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Analogic's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 417.3
DDA 24.8
Operating Margin % 4.85
SGA * 25% 26.9
Tax Rate % 10.93
Maintenance Capex 11.5
Cash and Cash Equivalents 186.5
Short-Term Debt 0.0
Long-Term Debt 0.0
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 12.6

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 4.85%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $417.3 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 4.85%, Average Adjusted SGA = 26.9,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 417.3 * 4.85% +26.9 = $47.139723216 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 10.93%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $47.139723216 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 47.139723216 * ( 1 - 10.93% ) = $41.988529961572 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 24.8 * 0.5 * 10.93% = $1.356386865 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 41.988529961572 + 1.356386865 = $43.344916826572 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Analogic's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $11.5 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Analogic's current cash and cash equivalent = $186.5 Mil.
Analogic's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 0.0 + 0.0 = $0 Mil.
Analogic's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 12.6 Mil.

Analogic's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Apr18 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 43.344916826572 - 11.5)/ 9%+186.5-0 )/12.6
=42.78

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 42.781829623096-83.95 )/42.781829623096
= -96.23%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Analogic  (NAS:ALOG) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Analogic Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Analogic (Analogic) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Analogic Corp is a medical technology company that specializes in medical imaging, ultrasound, and security and detection technologies. The medical imaging segment generates the majority of revenue and consists of systems and sub-systems sold to producers of computed tomography (CT), magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and digital mammography platforms. The ultrasound segment sells ultrasound systems and transducers to guide surgical procedures and treatments in urology, surgery, anesthesia, and point-of-care markets. Analogic's security and detection business manufactures airport baggage screening systems that can analyze the potential threat of materials in checked bags.
Executives
Stephen A Odland director ONE GENERAL MILLS BLVD, M03-08, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55426
James J Judge director 800 BOYLSTON STREET, BOSTON MA 02199
Jeffrey P Black director 155 S LIMERICK ROAD, LIMERICK PA 19468
Joseph E Whitters director
Bernard C Bailey director
John J Fry officer: See Remarks 8 CENTENNIAL DRIVE, PEABODY MA 01960
Mark T Frost officer: SVP, CFO & Treasurer 21 CORPORATE CIRCLE, PO BOX 15098, ALBANY NY 12033-5098
James W Green director, officer: President/CEO/Director 12525 CHADRON AVENUE, HAWTHORNE CA 90250
Shalabh Chandra officer: See Remarks C/O OSI SYSTEMS, INC., 12525 CHADRON AVENUE, HAWTHORNE CA 90250
Michael L Levitz officer: Sr. VP-CFO and Treasurer C/O ANALOGIC CORPORATION, 8 CENTENNIAL DRIVE, PEABODY MA 01960
Sophie V. Vandebroek director 6 OAK MEADOW ROAD, LINCOLN MA 01770
Edward F Voboril director 10000 WEHRLE DR, CLARENCE NY 14031
Gina Consylman officer: VP-Controller C/O IRONWOOD PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 100 SUMMER STREET, SUITE 2300, BOSTON MA 02110
Kevin C Melia director
Van Adzin Alex A officer: VP&Gen.Counsel 8 CENTENNIAL DR, PEABODY MA 01960

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