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As of Dec23, NorthStar Healthcareome's earnings power value is $-5.75. *
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.
Margin of Safety is N/A.
The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.
The historical data trend for NorthStar Healthcareome's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
NorthStar Healthcareome Annual Data | |||||||||||||||||||||
Trend | Dec14 | Dec15 | Dec16 | Dec17 | Dec18 | Dec19 | Dec20 | Dec21 | Dec22 | Dec23 | |||||||||||
Earnings Power Value (EPV) | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | -9.59 | -9.00 | -5.37 | -5.75 | -5.75 |
NorthStar Healthcareome Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Mar19 | Jun19 | Sep19 | Dec19 | Mar20 | Jun20 | Sep20 | Dec20 | Mar21 | Jun21 | Sep21 | Dec21 | Mar22 | Jun22 | Sep22 | Dec22 | Mar23 | Jun23 | Sep23 | Dec23 | |
Earnings Power Value (EPV) | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | -5.75 | -5.64 | -5.50 | -5.84 | -5.75 |
For the REIT - Healthcare Facilities subindustry, NorthStar Healthcareome's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, NorthStar Healthcareome's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where NorthStar Healthcareome's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.
Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.
The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.
NorthStar Healthcareome's "Earning Power" Calculation:
Average of Last 20 Quarters | Last Quarter | |
Revenue | 244.7 | |
DDA | 53.6 | |
Operating Margin % | 0.10 | |
SGA * 25% | 3.5 | |
Tax Rate % | -0.09 | |
Maintenance Capex | 26.6 | |
Cash and Cash Equivalents | 85.0 | |
Short-Term Debt | 0.0 | |
Long-Term Debt | 898.2 | |
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) | 185.7 |
1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.
2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.10%
To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.
3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:
To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $244.7 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.10%, Average Adjusted SGA = 3.5,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 244.7 * 0.10% +3.5 = $3.72540208 Mil.
4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):
Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = -0.09%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $3.72540208 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 3.72540208 * ( 1 - -0.09% ) = $3.7286059257888 Mil.
5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:
Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 53.6 * 0.5 * -0.09% = $-0.023041894 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 3.7286059257888 + -0.023041894 = $3.7055640317888 Mil.
6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:
First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
NorthStar Healthcareome's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $26.6 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.
7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%
8. NorthStar Healthcareome's current cash and cash equivalent = $85.0 Mil.
NorthStar Healthcareome's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 898.2 + 0.0 = $898.154 Mil.
NorthStar Healthcareome's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 185.7 Mil.
NorthStar Healthcareome's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:
EPV | = | ( ( Norm. Earnings | - | Maint. CAPEX *) | / | WACC | + | CashandEquiv | - | Int. Bearing Debt ) | / | Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) |
= | ( ( 3.7055640317888 | - | 26.6) | / | 9% | + | 85.0 | - | 898.154 ) | / | 185.7 | |
= | -5.75 |
Margin of Safety (EPV) | = | ( Earnings Power Value (EPV) | - | Current Price ) | / | Earnings Power Value (EPV) |
= | ( -5.7477624676217 | - | 0.6958 ) | / | -5.7477624676217 | |
= | N/A |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.
NorthStar Healthcareome (OTCPK:NHHS) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation
Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.
Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.
Be Aware
Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of NorthStar Healthcareome's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Ann Harrington | officer: General Counsel and Secretary | C/O COLONY NORTHSTAR, INC., 590 MADISON AVENUE, 34TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022 |
Kendall K Young | officer: CEO and President | 3760 KILROY AIRPORT WAY, SUITE 300, LONG BEACH CA 90806 |
Nicholas Balzo | officer: Chief Financial Officer | 201 COMMONS PARK S, UNIT 502, STAMFORD CT 06902 |
Paul Varisano | officer: Chief Financial Officer | 590 MADISON AVENUE, 34TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022 |
Neale Redington | officer: Chief Financial Officer | C/O COLONY NORTHSTAR, INC., 515 S. FLOWER ST., 44TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071 |
Jonathan A. Carnella | director | C/O NORTHSTAR HEALTHCARE INCOME, INC., 590 MADISON AVENUE, 34TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022 |
Richard S. Welch | director, officer: Chairman | C/O COLONY NORTHSTAR, INC., 515 S. FLOWER STREET, LOS ANGELES CA 90071 |
Smith Jack Fleming Jr. | director | C/O NORTHSTAR REALTY FINANCE CORP., 399 PARK AVENUE, 18TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022 |
Gregory A Samay | director | C/O NORTHSTAR HEALTHCARE INCOME INC, 399 PARK AVE 18TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022 |
Thomas Andrew Smith | director | 111 WESTWOOD PLACE, SUITE 400, BRENTWOOD TN 37027 |
Justin T Chang | director, officer: Chairman | 301 COMMERCE STREET, SUITE 3300, FORT WORTH TX 76102 |
Daniel Joseph Altobello | director | 6550 ROCK SPRING DR, SUITE 550, BETHESDA MD 20817 |
Robert C Gatenio | director, officer: Vice Chairman | C/O COLONY NORTHSTAR, INC., 590 MADISON AVENUE, 34TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022 |
Frank V Saracino | officer: CFO and Treasurer | 399 PARK AVENUE, 18TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022 |
Ronald J Jeanneault | officer: CEO and President | C/O NORTHSTAR HEALTHCARE INCOME, INC., 399 PARK AVENUE, 18TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10022 |
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