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NVN Liquidation (NVN Liquidation) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-24.33 (As of Mar23)


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What is NVN Liquidation Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar23, NVN Liquidation's earnings power value is $-24.33. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


NVN Liquidation Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for NVN Liquidation's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

NVN Liquidation Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

NVN Liquidation Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only - -68.88 -18.13 -21.39 -26.25

NVN Liquidation Quarterly Data
Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -21.14 -22.98 -21.29 -26.25 -24.33

Competitive Comparison of NVN Liquidation's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, NVN Liquidation's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


NVN Liquidation's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, NVN Liquidation's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where NVN Liquidation's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



NVN Liquidation Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

NVN Liquidation's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 8.69
DDA 1.70
Operating Margin % -682.13
SGA * 25% 4.34
Tax Rate % -0.02
Maintenance Capex 3.03
Cash and Cash Equivalents 12.54
Short-Term Debt 0.47
Long-Term Debt 3.39
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 26.12

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -682.13%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $8.69 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -682.13%, Average Adjusted SGA = 4.34,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 8.69 * -682.13% +4.34 = $-54.931753068 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = -0.02%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $-54.931753068 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = -54.931753068 * ( 1 - -0.02% ) = $-54.942739418614 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 1.70 * 0.5 * -0.02% = $-0.0001695 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -54.942739418614 + -0.0001695 = $-54.942908918614 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
NVN Liquidation's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $3.03 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. NVN Liquidation's current cash and cash equivalent = $12.54 Mil.
NVN Liquidation's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 3.39 + 0.47 = $3.852 Mil.
NVN Liquidation's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 26.12 Mil.

NVN Liquidation's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -54.942908918614 - 3.03)/ 9%+12.54-3.852 )/26.12
=-24.33

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -24.333911488323-1.0E-6 )/-24.333911488323
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


NVN Liquidation  (OTCPK:NOVNQ) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


NVN Liquidation Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of NVN Liquidation's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


NVN Liquidation (NVN Liquidation) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
P.O. Box 64, Pittsboro, NC, USA, 27312
NVN Liquidation Inc Formerly Novan Inc is a dermatology company focused on developing and commercializing therapeutic products for skin diseases. It is developing SB206 as a topical prescription gel for the treatment of viral skin infections. The company's product portfolio includes; Wynzora Cream for the treatment of plaque psoriasis, Rhofade cream for the treatment of persistent facial erythema, Minolira tablets to treat inflammatory lesions of non-nodular moderate to severe acne vulgaris in patients, Cloderm cream for the relief of the inflammatory and pruritic manifestations of corticosteroid-responsive dermatoses, Sitavig tablets for the treatment of recurrent herpes labialis in immunocompetent adults, and Nuvail nail solution for managing signs and symptoms of nail dystrophy.
Executives
Machelle Sanders director C/O NOVAN, INC., 4105 HOPSON ROAD, MORRISVILLE NC 27560
James L Bierman director 9120 LOCKWOOD BOULEVARD, MECHANICSVILLE VA 23116
John W Palmour director C/O CREE, INC., 4600 SILICON DRIVE, DURHAM NC 27703
John M. Gay officer: VP, Finance & Corp. Controller C/O NOVAN, INC., 4105 HOPSON ROAD, MORRISVILLE NC 27560
A. Donofrio John officer: EVP, Chief Operating Officer C/O NOVAN, INC., 4020 STIRRUP CREEK DRIVE, SUITE 110, DURHAM NC 27703
Paula B Stafford director C/O NOVAN, INC., 4105 HOPSON ROAD, MORRISVILLE NC 27560
Steven D Skolsky director TRIMERIS, INC., 3500 PARAMOUNT PARKWAY, MORRISVILLE NC 27560
Malin Life Sciences Holdings Ltd 10 percent owner 2 HARBOUR SQUARE, CROFTON ROAD, DUN LAOGHAIRE, CO, DUBLIN L2 ----
G. Kelly Martin director C/O NOVAN, INC., 4105 HOPSON RD, MORRISVILLE NC 27560
Robert Alexander Ingram director 280 S. MANGUM STREET, SUITE 350, DURHAM NC 27701
W Kent Geer director 7104 RAINWATER ROAD, RALEIGH NC 27615
Andrew Novak officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O NOVAN, INC., 4105 HOPSON ROAD, MORRISVILLE NC 27560
Eugene Sun director C/O NOVAN, INC., 4105 HOPSON ROAD, MORRISVILLE NC 27560
James H. Goodnight Management Trust 10 percent owner 100 SAS CAMPUS DRIVE, CARY NC 27513
Donald R Parker 10 percent owner 100 SAS CAMPUS DRIVE, CARY NC 27513

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