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Quince Therapeutics (Quince Therapeutics) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $1.45 (As of Dec23)


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What is Quince Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Quince Therapeutics's earnings power value is $1.45. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is 32.03

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Quince Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Quince Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Quince Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Quince Therapeutics Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - 2.48 1.45

Quince Therapeutics Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.48 2.46 2.39 2.26 1.45

Competitive Comparison of Quince Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Quince Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Quince Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Quince Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Quince Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Quince Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Quince Therapeutics's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 0.00
DDA 0.28
Operating Margin % 0.00
SGA * 25% 4.99
Tax Rate % 0.15
Maintenance Capex 0.15
Cash and Cash Equivalents 75.06
Short-Term Debt 0.06
Long-Term Debt 13.75
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 41.13

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $0.00 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 4.99,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 0.00 * 0.00% +4.99 = $ Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 0.15%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $ Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = * ( 1 - 0.15% ) = $0 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 0.28 * 0.5 * 0.15% = $0.000214755 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0 + 0.000214755 = $0.000214755 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Quince Therapeutics's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $0.15 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Quince Therapeutics's current cash and cash equivalent = $75.06 Mil.
Quince Therapeutics's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 13.75 + 0.06 = $13.814 Mil.
Quince Therapeutics's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 41.13 Mil.

Quince Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 0.000214755 - 0.15)/ 9%+75.06-13.814 )/41.13
=1.45

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 1.4492305991219-0.9851 )/1.4492305991219
= 32.03%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Quince Therapeutics  (NAS:QNCX) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Quince Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Quince Therapeutics (Quince Therapeutics) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
601 Gateway Boulevard, Suite 1250, South San Francisco, CA, USA, 94080
Quince Therapeutics Inc is preclinical stage biopharmaceutical company focused on advancing innovative precision therapeutics for debilitating and rare diseases. The company discovered a broad bone-targeting drug platform designed to precisely deliver small molecules, peptides, or large molecules directly to the site of bone fracture and disease to promote rapid healing with fewer off-target safety concerns compared to non-targeted therapeutics.
Executives
David Lamond director C/O CORTEXYME, INC., 269 EAST GRAND AVE., SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Guenter Janhofer officer: Chief Scientific Officer 601 GATEWAY BOULEVARD, SUITE 1250, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Luca Benatti director C/O INTERCEPT PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 450 WEST 15TH STREET, SUITE 505, NEW YORK NY 10011
Charles S. Ryan officer: President C/O APPLIED DNA SCIENCES, INC., 50 HEALTH SCIENCES DRIVE, STONY BROOK NY 11790
Dirk Thye director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 6310 NANCY RIDGE DRIVE, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Brendan Hannah officer: Chief Business Officer 269 EAST GRAND AVE, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Margaret Mcloughlin director C/O CORTEXYME, INC., 269 EAST GRAND AVE., SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Ted Monohon officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O FANTEX, INC., 330 TOWNSEND ST., SUITE 234, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
June Bray director C/O BIOXCEL THERAPEUTICS, INC., 555 LONG WHARF DRIVE, NEW HAVEN CT 06511
Caryn Gordon Mcdowell officer: Chief Legal & Adm. Officer 280 EAST GRAND AVENUE, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Karen L. Smith officer: Chief Medical Officer C/O JAZZ PHARMACEUTICALS PLC, 5TH FL, WATERLOO EXCHANGE, WATERLOO RD, DUBLIN L2 4 L2
Philip S Low director 3000 KENT AVE STE A1-100, WEST LAFAYETTE IN 47906
Marwan Sabbagh director C/O CORTEXYME, INC., 269 EAST GRAND AVE., SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Stephen S. Dominy director, officer: Chief Scientific Officer C/O CORTEXYME, INC., 269 EAST GRAND AVE., SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Christopher P. Lowe officer: Chief Financial Officer 2511 N LOOP 1604,, SUITE 204, SAN ANTONIO TX 78258