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StanCorp Financial Group (StanCorp Financial Group) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $72.16 (As of Dec15)


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What is StanCorp Financial Group Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec15, StanCorp Financial Group's earnings power value is $72.16. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


StanCorp Financial Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for StanCorp Financial Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

StanCorp Financial Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

StanCorp Financial Group Annual Data
Trend Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 48.09 48.42 61.90 64.84 72.16

StanCorp Financial Group Quarterly Data
Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 64.84 68.08 68.25 69.56 72.16

Competitive Comparison of StanCorp Financial Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Insurance - Life subindustry, StanCorp Financial Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


StanCorp Financial Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, StanCorp Financial Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where StanCorp Financial Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



StanCorp Financial Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

StanCorp Financial Group's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 2,868
DDA 136
Operating Margin % 9.14
SGA * 25% 128
Tax Rate % 27.97
Maintenance Capex 17
Cash and Cash Equivalents 452
Short-Term Debt 1
Long-Term Debt 505
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 43

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 9.14%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $2,868 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 9.14%, Average Adjusted SGA = 128,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 2,868 * 9.14% +128 = $390.2705332 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 27.97%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $390.2705332 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 390.2705332 * ( 1 - 27.97% ) = $281.10991371129 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 136 * 0.5 * 27.97% = $19.0031577 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 281.10991371129 + 19.0031577 = $300.11307141129 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
StanCorp Financial Group's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $17 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. StanCorp Financial Group's current cash and cash equivalent = $452 Mil.
StanCorp Financial Group's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 505 + 1 = $506.4 Mil.
StanCorp Financial Group's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 43 Mil.

StanCorp Financial Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec15 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 300.11307141129 - 17)/ 9%+452-506.4 )/43
=72.16

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 72.157958351474-114.97 )/72.157958351474
= -59.33%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


StanCorp Financial Group  (NYSE:SFG) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


StanCorp Financial Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of StanCorp Financial Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


StanCorp Financial Group (StanCorp Financial Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
StanCorp Financial Group Inc was incorporated in 1998 in Oregon. It is a holding company and conducts business through wholly-owned operating subsidiaries throughout the United States. Through its subsidiaries, they have the authority to underwrite insurance products in all 50 states as well as the District of Columbia and the U.S. territories of Guam and the Virgin Islands. It operates through two segments: Insurance Services and Asset Management. Insurance Services contains two reportable product segments, Employee Benefits and Individual Disability. Insurance Services is comprised of its Employee Benefits and Individual Disability segments, and offers group life and AD&D insurance, group and individual disability insurance, group dental and group vision insurance, and absence management services to individuals and employer groups ranging in size from two lives to 167,000 lives. The Company has approximately 43,000 group insurance policies in force, covering approximately 6.2 million employees as of December 31, 2013. Group life insurance products provide coverage to insured employees for a specified period and have no cash value (amount of cash available to an insured employee on the surrender of, or withdrawal from, the life insurance policy). Coverage is offered to insured employees and their dependents. AD&D insurance is usually provided in conjunction with group life insurance, and is payable after the accidental death or dismemberment of the insured in an amount based on the face amount of the policy or dismemberment schedule. The Asset Management segment offers full-service 401(k) plans, 403(b) plans, 457 plans, defined benefit plans, money purchase pension plans, profit sharing plans and non-qualified deferred compensation products and services. This segment also offers investment advisory and management services, financial planning services, origination and servicing of fixed-rate commercial mortgage loans, individual fixed-rate annuity products, group annuity contracts and retirement plan trust products. The Company reports its holding company and corporate activities in the Other category. This category includes return on capital not allocated to the product segments, holding company expenses, operations of certain unallocated subsidiaries, interest on debt, unallocated expenses, net capital gains and losses related to the impairment or the disposition of its invested assets and adjustments made in consolidation. Competition for the sale of its products comes primarily from other insurers and financial services companies such as banks, broker-dealers, mutual funds, and managed care providers for employer groups, individual consumers and distributors. The Company's insurance products are regulated by the jurisdictions in which they sell their products including all 50 states, the District of Columbia, the U.S. territories of Guam and the Virgin Islands.
Executives
Ranjana B Clark director 301 SOUTH COLLEGE STREET, CHARLOTTE NC 28288
John A Hooper officer: Vice President Human Resources WEYERHAEUSER COMPANY, P.O. BOX 9777, FEDERAL WAY WA 98063-9777
Frederick W Buckman director QUANTA SERVICES, INC., 1360 POST OAK BLVD., SUITE 2100, HOUSTON TX 77056-3023
Mary F Sammons director
Timothy A Holt director C/O VIRTUS INVESTMENT PARTNERS, INC., 100 PEARL STREET, HARTFORD CT 06103
Duane Charles Mcdougall director C/O INFOCUS CORP, 277008 SW PARKWAY AVE, WILSONVILLE OR 97070
Horvath D Debora director 1 BELVEDERE PLACE, SUITE 300, MILL VALLEY CA 94941
Kevin M Murai director C/O INGRAM MICRO INC WORLD WIDE L, 1600 E ST ANDREW PLACE, SANTA ANA CA 92705
George J Puentes director 3060 INDUSTRIAL WAY NE SALEM OR 97301
Ralph R Peterson director CH2M HILL COS LTD, PO BOX 22508, DENVER CO 80222
John E Chapoton director BROWN INVESTMENT ADVISORY INCORPORATED, 1717 H STREET, NW, FIFTH FLOOR, WASHINGTON DC 20006
Barry J Galt director 1001 FANNIN STREET, SUITE 1600, HOUSTON TX 77002-6794

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