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Tapestry (Tapestry) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $50.89 (As of Dec23)


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What is Tapestry Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Tapestry's earnings power value is $50.89. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is 19.48

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Tapestry Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Tapestry's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Tapestry Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Tapestry Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 30.31 19.25 30.36 36.25 44.57

Tapestry Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 42.97 43.35 44.57 46.05 50.89

Competitive Comparison of Tapestry's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Luxury Goods subindustry, Tapestry's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tapestry's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Tapestry's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tapestry's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Tapestry Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Tapestry's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 6,099
DDA 214
Operating Margin % 11.33
SGA * 25% 848
Tax Rate % 11.25
Maintenance Capex 148
Cash and Cash Equivalents 7,462
Short-Term Debt 331
Long-Term Debt 9,009
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 232

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 11.33%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $6,099 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 11.33%, Average Adjusted SGA = 848,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 6,099 * 11.33% +848 = $1539.4830858 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 11.25%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $1539.4830858 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 1539.4830858 * ( 1 - 11.25% ) = $1366.2527515704 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 214 * 0.5 * 11.25% = $12.0649305 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 1366.2527515704 + 12.0649305 = $1378.3176820704 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Tapestry's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $148 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Tapestry's current cash and cash equivalent = $7,462 Mil.
Tapestry's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 9,009 + 331 = $9339.7 Mil.
Tapestry's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 232 Mil.

Tapestry's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 1378.3176820704 - 148)/ 9%+7,462-9339.7 )/232
=50.89

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 50.891904381641-40.98 )/50.891904381641
= 19.48%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Tapestry  (NYSE:TPR) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Tapestry Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Tapestry's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Tapestry (Tapestry) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
10 Hudson Yards, New York, NY, USA, 10001
Coach, Kate Spade, and Stuart Weitzman are Tapestry's fashion and accessory brands. The firm's products are sold through about 1,400 company-operated stores, wholesale channels, and e-commerce in North America (66% of fiscal 2023 sales), Europe, Asia (29% of fiscal 2023 sales), and elsewhere. Coach (75% of fiscal 2023 sales) is best known for affordable luxury leather products. Kate Spade (21% of fiscal 2023 sales) is known for colorful patterns and graphics. Women's handbags and accessories produced 69% of Tapestry's sales in fiscal 2023. Stuart Weitzman (4% of sales) generates nearly all its revenue from women's footwear. In August 2023, Tapestry agreed to acquire rival Capri and its three brands, Michael Kors, Versace, and Jimmy Choo.
Executives
Denise Kulikowsky officer: Chief People Officer 80 GRASSLANDS ROAD, ELMSFORD NY 10523
Lau Alan Ka Ming director 10 HUDSON YARDS, NEW YORK NY 10001
Manesh Dadlani officer: VP, Controller and PAO 10 HUDSON YARDS, NEW YORK NY 10001
Thomas A. Glaser officer: Chief Operations Officer 10 HUDSON YARDS, 19TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Sarah Dunn officer: SVP, Human Resources 516 WEST 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001
Todd Kahn officer: SVP and General Counsel 516 WEST 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001
Johanna W. Faber director 10 HUDSON YARDS, NEW YORK NY 10001
David E Howard officer: SVP, GC & Secretary 10 HUDSON YARDS, NEW YORK NY 10001
Scott A. Roe officer: CFO and Head of Strategy 105 CORPORATE CENTER BLVD., GREENSBORO NC 27408
Annabelle Yu Long director 516 WEST 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001
Ivan Menezes director C/O TAPESTRY, INC., 10 HUDSON YARDS, NEW YORK NY 10001
Thomas Greco director PEPSICO, INC., 700 ANDERSON HILL ROAD, PURCHASE NY 10577
Pamela Lifford director 10 HUDSON YARDS, NEW YORK NY 10001
John P Bilbrey director
Elizabeth Fraser officer: CEO & Brand Pres. Kate Spade 10 HUDSON YARDS, NEW YORK NY 10001

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