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UMH Properties (UMH Properties) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-3.23 (As of Dec23)


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What is UMH Properties Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, UMH Properties's earnings power value is $-3.23. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


UMH Properties Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for UMH Properties's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

UMH Properties Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

UMH Properties Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
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UMH Properties Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
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Competitive Comparison of UMH Properties's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the REIT - Residential subindustry, UMH Properties's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


UMH Properties's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, UMH Properties's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where UMH Properties's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



UMH Properties Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

UMH Properties's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 182.6
DDA 45.6
Operating Margin % 16.10
SGA * 25% 5.0
Tax Rate % 0.00
Maintenance Capex 0.0
Cash and Cash Equivalents 91.8
Short-Term Debt 0.0
Long-Term Debt 690.0
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 66.7

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 16.10%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $182.6 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 16.10%, Average Adjusted SGA = 5.0,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 182.6 * 16.10% +5.0 = $34.444446752 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 0.00%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $34.444446752 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 34.444446752 * ( 1 - 0.00% ) = $34.444446752 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 45.6 * 0.5 * 0.00% = $0 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 34.444446752 + 0 = $34.444446752 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
UMH Properties's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $0.0 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. UMH Properties's current cash and cash equivalent = $91.8 Mil.
UMH Properties's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 690.0 + 0.0 = $690.017 Mil.
UMH Properties's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 66.7 Mil.

UMH Properties's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 34.444446752 - 0.0)/ 9%+91.8-690.017 )/66.7
=-3.23

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -3.2298791086861-15.66 )/-3.2298791086861
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


UMH Properties  (NYSE:UMH) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


UMH Properties Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of UMH Properties's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


UMH Properties (UMH Properties) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
3499 Route 9, Suite 3C, Freehold, NJ, USA, 07728
UMH Properties Inc together with its subsidiaries is a real estate investment trust. It is engaged in the business of ownership and operation of manufactured home communities - leasing manufactured homesites to private manufactured home owners. It also leases homes to residents. The company also owns the land, utility connections, streets, lighting, driveways, common area amenities, and other capital improvements. It earns income from leasing, brokerage, and appreciation. It is located in New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Indiana, Michigan, and Maryland.
Executives
Quigley Kenneth K Jr director
Jeffrey A Carus director 3499 ROUTE 9 NORTH, SUITE 3C, FREEHOLD NJ 07728
Kiernan Conway director 3499 RT. 9 NORTH, SUITE 3C, FREEHOLD NJ 07728
Samuel A Landy director, officer: President 3499 ROUTE 9 NORTH, STE 3C, FREEDHOLD NJ 07728
Daniel O. Landy other: EVP and President of OZ Fund 3499 ROUTE 9 NORTH, SUITE 3C, FREEHOLD NJ 07728
Matthew I Hirsch director 3499 ROUTE 9 NORTH, STE 3C, FREEDHOLD NJ 07728
Brett Taft officer: EVP and COO 3499 ROUTE 9 , SUITE 3C, FREEHOLD NJ 07728
Craig Koster officer: EVP and General Counsel 3499 ROUTE 9 NORTH, SUITE 3C, FREEHOLD NJ 07728
Amy Lynn Butewicz director 3499 ROUTE 9 NORTH, SUITE 3C, FREEHOLD NJ 07728
Stuart Levy director 3499 ROUTE 9 NORTH, SUITE 3C, FREEHOLD NJ 07728
Angela D. Pruitt director 3499 ROUTE 9 NORTH, SUITE 3C, FREEHOLD NJ 07728
William Edward Mitchell director 3499 ROUTE 9 NORTH, SUITE 3C, FREEHOLD NJ 07728
Steven B Wolgin director
Michael P Landy officer: Vice President - Investments 3499 ROUTE 9 N STE 3-C, FREEHOLD NJ 07728
Eugene W Landy director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman of the Board 3499 ROUTE 9 NORTH SUITE 3C, FREEHOLD NJ 07728