GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Asset Management » Templeton Emerging Markets Fund (NYSE:EMF) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Templeton Emerging Markets Fund (Templeton Emerging Markets Fund) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of Jun. 05, 2024)


View and export this data going back to . Start your Free Trial

What is Templeton Emerging Markets Fund Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Templeton Emerging Markets Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Templeton Emerging Markets Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Asset Management subindustry, Templeton Emerging Markets Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Templeton Emerging Markets Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Templeton Emerging Markets Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Templeton Emerging Markets Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Templeton Emerging Markets Fund Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-10.17

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Templeton Emerging Markets Fund  (NYSE:EMF) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Templeton Emerging Markets Fund Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Templeton Emerging Markets Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Templeton Emerging Markets Fund (Templeton Emerging Markets Fund) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
300 South East 2nd Street, Fort Lauderdale, Fort Lauderdale, FL, USA, 33301-1923
Templeton Emerging Markets Fund is a closed-end management investment company. It seeks long-term capital appreciation by investing, under normal market conditions, at least 80% of its net assets in emerging country equity securities. It invests in various sectors such as financials, consumer staples, industrials, telecommunication, insurance, Entertainment, banks, and others.
Executives
Christine M. Debevec officer: VP & Assistant Secretary ONE FRANKLIN PARKWAY, SAN MATEO CA 94403
George P. Hoyt officer: VP & Secretary C/O FRANKLIN TEMPLETON, 100 FIRST STAMFORD PLACE, STAMFORD CT 06902
Ted P Becker officer: Chief Compliance Officer 399 PARK AVENUE, 4TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Oliveira Marc De officer: VP & Assistant Secretary C/O LEGG MASON & CO. LLC, ONE FIRST STAMFORD PLACE, STAMFORD CT 06902
Alexander Kymn officer: VP & Assistant Secretary WELLS FARGO BANK, 45 FREMONT STREET, 26TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Harris Goldblat officer: VP & Assistant Secretary ONE FRANKLIN PARKWAY, SAN MATEO CA 94403
Tara E. Gormel officer: VP & Assistant Secretary ONE FRANKLIN PARKWAY, SAN MATEO CA 94403
Terrence J. Checki other: Trustee HESS CORPORATION, 1185 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Christopher Kings officer: CFO, CAO and Treasurer ONE FRANKLIN PARKWAY, SAN MATEO CA 94403
Ryan Wheeler officer: Interim CFO, CAO and Treasurer 300 S.E. 2ND STREET, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33301
Susan Kerr officer: VP - AML Compliance 280 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
Manraj S Sekhon officer: President and CEO - IM 7 TEMASEK BOULEVARD, #38-03 SUNTEC TOWER ONE, SINGAPORE U0 038987
Bates Ann Torre other: Trustee 300 CONTINENTAL DRIVE, NEWARK DE 19713
Matthew T. Hinkle officer: CEO - Finance & Admin 3344 QUALITY DRIVE, RANCHO CORDOVA CA 95670-7313
Robert Kubilis officer: CFO, CAO and Treasurer FRANKLIN TEMPLETON INVESTMENTS, 300 S.E. 2ND STREET, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33301-1923

Templeton Emerging Markets Fund (Templeton Emerging Markets Fund) Headlines