What is Altair Nanotechnologies Probability of Financial Distress (%)?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Altair Nanotechnologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Competitive Comparison of Altair Nanotechnologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%)
For the Electronic Components subindustry, Altair Nanotechnologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Altair Nanotechnologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Hardware Industry
For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Altair Nanotechnologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Altair Nanotechnologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Altair Nanotechnologies Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
| LPFD | = | -20.12 * NIMTAAVG | + | 1.60 * TLMTA | - | 7.88 * EXRETAVG | + | 1.55 * SIGMA | - | 0.005 * RSIZE | - | 2.27 * CASHMTA | + | 0.070 * MB | - | 0.09 * PRICE | - | 8.87 |
| = | 0.00 |
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
| PFD | = | 1 | / | (1 + e^(-LPFD)) | * | 100% |
| = | 0.00% |
The eight explanatory variables are:
1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets
*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.
2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets
3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets
For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
6. RSIZE = Relative Size
| RSIZE | = | log (Market Cap | / | Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies) |
7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio
8. PRICE
PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).
Altair Nanotechnologies (Altair Nanotechnologies) Business Description
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Altair Nanotechnologies Inc was incorporated under the laws of the Province of Ontario, Canada in April 1973. The Company develops, manufactures and sells nano lithium titanate batteries and energy storage systems. Its nano lithium titanate battery systems offer higher power density, longer cycle life, rapid charge and discharge capabilities, operating temperature range and higher levels of safety than conventional lithium-ion batteries. The Company targets applications that effectively utilize the key attributes of its technology. It operates in two major business segments: Power and Energy Group, and All Other operations. The Power and Energy Group develops, produces, and sells battery systems. The All Others group consists of the remaining portions of the previous Life Sciences and Performance Materials groups. Its target market is electric grid, which design, manufacture and sell grid-scale battery systems, which provide ancillary services including frequency regulation. The Company currently is working with multiple vehicle manufacturers and suppliers regarding their hybrid and electric vehicle efforts. In 2012, it focused on the launch of its newest energy storage system, the ALTI-ESS Advantage. First, the company focused its product development on the launch of newest electric grid product, the 2 megawatt ALTI-ESS Advantage, which increased system specification from 1 megawatt to 2 megawatts, while reducing the containerized power modules footprint from 53 feet to 40 feet. Second, it focused on the manufacture of five grid-scale energy storage systems for four customers, who included the Hawaii Natural Energy Institute (HNEI), Vestas, TSK Solar and a U.S. utility company based on the East Coast. The Company has developed, and continues to develop, through its primary materials science research, a lithium-ion battery chemistry using nanotechnologies to create materials offering unique electrochemistry properties for rechargeable batteries. It manufactures cells, modules, packs and turn-key energy storage systems for its target customers, including 24V, 36V, and 48V industrial and transportation systems, a configurable industrial PowerRack system, and large-scale systems for the electric grid. The Company uses compounds of lithium and of titanium to manufacture its nano lithium titanate. It has a total of 12 U.S. and 42 foreign patents. A number of energy storage and power electronic component producers have entered into the frequency regulation market which include include ABB, A123 Systems., BYD, GS Yuasa, LG Chem, Mitsubishi, Parker Hannifin, Saft and XtremePower. Its products typically compete with existing methods for providing frequency regulation and renewables integration rather than competing battery manufacturers. Its current and proposed activities are subject to numerous federal, state, and local laws and regulations concerning machine and chemical safety and environmental protection.
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