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Blueknight Energy Partners LP (Blueknight Energy Partners LP) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 50.00% (As of May. 24, 2024)


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What is Blueknight Energy Partners LP Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Blueknight Energy Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Blueknight Energy Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Oil & Gas Midstream subindustry, Blueknight Energy Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Blueknight Energy Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Blueknight Energy Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Blueknight Energy Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Blueknight Energy Partners LP Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=50.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Blueknight Energy Partners LP  (NAS:BKEPP.PFD) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Blueknight Energy Partners LP Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Blueknight Energy Partners LP (Blueknight Energy Partners LP) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
6060 American Plaza, Suite 600, Tulsa, OK, USA, 74135
Blueknight Energy Partners LP is a limited partnership operating in the US. The company is engaged in providing storage, gathering, and distribution services that support the domestic transportation infrastructure markets.
Executives
Matthew R Lewis officer: Chief Financial Officer 6060 AMERICAN PLAZA, SUITE 600, TULSA OK 74135
D Andrew Woodward officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O ANDX, FINDLAY OH 45840
Michael G Mclanahan officer: Chief Accounting Officer 6060 AMERICAN PLAZA, SUITE 600, TULSA OK 74135
Joel Pastorek director 2829 LAKELAND DRIVE, SUITE 2000, JACKSON MS 39232
Wiley Rebhun Adams director 2829 LAKELAND DRIVE, SUITE 2000, JACKSON MS 39232
Joel Kanvik officer: Cheif Legal Officer 6060 AMERICAN PLAZA, SUITE 600, TULSA OK 74135
Edward Drew Brooks director 2829 LAKELAND DRIVE, SUITE 2000, JACKSON MS 39232
Jimmy Arden Langdon director 2829 LAKELAND DRIVE, FLOWOOD MS 39232
Robert Howard Lampton director 2829 LAKELAND DRIVE, 2000, FLOWOOD MS 39232
William Walter Lampton director 2829 LAKELAND DRIVE, SUITE 2000, JACKSON MS 39232
Donald M Brooks director 6165 W. DETROIT ST., CHANDLER AZ 85284
Michael R Eisenson director C/O CHARLESBANK CAPITAL PARTNERS, 600 ATLANTIC AV 28TH FL, BOSTON MA 02210
Charlesbank Capital Partners Llc 10 percent owner, other: Director by Deputization 600 ATLANTIC AVENUE, BOSTON MA 02210
Cb-blueknight, Llc 10 percent owner, other: Director by Deputization 200 CLARENDON STREET, FLOOR 54, BOSTON MA 02116
Jon Biotti director C/O CHARLESBANK CAPITAL PARTNERS LLC, 200 CLARENDON STREET, 54TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02109