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Brookline Bancorp (Brookline Bancorp) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.15% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Brookline Bancorp Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Brookline Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.15%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Brookline Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Brookline Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Brookline Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Brookline Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Brookline Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Brookline Bancorp Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.53

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.15%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Brookline Bancorp  (NAS:BRKL) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Brookline Bancorp Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Brookline Bancorp (Brookline Bancorp) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
131 Clarendon Street, Boston, MA, USA, 02116
Brookline Bancorp Inc operates as a multi-bank holding company. It offers commercial, business and retail banking services, including a full complement of cash management products, online banking services, consumer and residential loans.
Executives
John A Hackett director 131 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Hill Willard I Jr director 2651 STRANG BOULEVARD, SUITE 100, YORKTOWN HEIGHTS NY 10598
Michael P Goldrick officer: CEO PCSB Bank 2651 STRANG BOULEVARD, SUITE 100, YORKTOWN HEIGHTS NY 10598
Carl M Carlson officer: Chief Financial Officer 131 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Bogdan Nowak director 131 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
David C Chapin director 131 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Margaret Boles Fitzgerald director 131 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Doyle John J Jr director 131 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
William C Tsonos officer: CEO Bank Rhode Island 131 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Charles H Peck director 131 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Michael W. Mccurdy officer: CRO and General Counsel 131 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Marissa S. Martin officer: General Counsel 131 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Darryl J. Fess officer: CEO, Brookline Bank 131 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
James M Cosman officer: Director of Operations 131 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Janytra M Brooks officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 131 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116