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Cohu (COHU) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Cohu Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Cohu's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Cohu's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Semiconductor Equipment & Materials subindustry, Cohu's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cohu's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Semiconductors Industry

For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, Cohu's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cohu's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Cohu Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.45

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Cohu  (NAS:COHU) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Cohu Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Cohu (COHU) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Semiconductors » Cohu Inc (NAS:COHU) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
12367 Crothwaite Circle, Poway, CA, USA, 92064-6817
Cohu Inc is a supplier of semiconductor test and inspection handlers, micro-electro-mechanical system (MEMS) test modules, test contactors and thermal sub-systems used by semiconductor manufacturers and test subcontractors. The company's products include Semiconductor ATE (Automated Test Equipment), Semiconductor Handlers, Interface Products such as test contactors, probe heads and probe pins, Spares and Kits, Bare Board PCB Test Systems, and services. It has two reportable segments, Semiconductor Test and Inspection Equipment (Semiconductor Test & Inspection) and PCB Test Equipment (PCB Test). The majority of the firm's revenue is derived from the Semiconductor Test and Inspection Equipment segment.
Executives
Thomas D Kampfer officer: VP Corp Dev, GC & Sec C/O COHU, INC., 12367 CROSTHWAITE CIRCLE, POWAY CA 92128
Ian P Lawee officer: VP & GM Semiconductor Test Grp 12367 CROSTHWAITE CIRCLE, POWAY CA 92064
Jeffrey D Jones officer: VP Finance & CFO 12367 CROSTHWAITE CIRCLE, POWAY CA 92064
Nina Richardson director C/O SILICON LABORATORIES, 400 W CESAR CHAVEZ, AUSTIN TX 78701
William Bendush director MICROSEMI CORPORATION, ONE ENTERPRISE, ALISO VIEJO CA 92656
Steven J Bilodeau director C/O COHU, INC., 12367 CROSTHWAITE CIRCLE, POWAY CA 92064
Andreas W Mattes director C/O DIEBOLD, INCORPORATED, 5995 MAYFAIR RD, NORTH CANTON OH 44720
Christopher Bohrson officer: VP & General Manager, Delta 12367 CROSTHWAITE CIRCLE, POWAY CA 92064
Andrew M Caggia director 12367 CROSTHWAITE CIRCLE, POWAY CA 92064
Luis A Muller officer: President, Delta Design, Inc. 12367 CROSTHWAITE CIRCLE, POWAY CA 92064
Yon Jorden director 750 WEST JOHN CARPENTER FREEWAY, SUITE 1200, IRVING TX 75039
James A Donahue officer: President & CEO
Pascal Ronde officer: Sr. VP, Global Customer Team LES CONQUERANTS - BATIMENT 1, AVENUE DE L'ATLANTIQUE, LES ULIS I0 91940
Robert L Ciardella director
Lynne J Camp director 714 NW 914TH TERRACE, PORTLAND OR 97229

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